Opinions
Derek Warren
Granite REIT
GRT.UN-T
COMMENT
Feb 03, 2016
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Diversified industrial globally. High quality properties. 10-12% discount to NAV. Focused on larger part of the market (over 300k square feet), where there's more vacancy. It needs to work through that. Likes the sector, stock's interesting at this level, keep owning it if you do.
Sounds counterintuitive, but WFG and trees are going to be beneficiaries. US still needs them, just going to pay higher prices.
GRT.UN is a good name. PKI works well here. Materials sector, with a name like NTR.
There's even a part of the TSX that does well with a falling CAD, as earnings get amplified.
Canada's largest industrial REIT with properties in Canada, Europe and Asia. Increasing rents has helped the business, however, rents have appeared to plateaued lately. Concerns that large revenue stream from Magna will be at risk from tariffs. Would buy more shares upon stock price weakness. Strong business overall.
26% of net operating income is from MG, so being impacted by tariffs. He calls this a second-derivative target of tariffs. Shares are trading as though MG is going to move its operations to the US, but he doesn't think it's equipped to do so.
Unique feature of large bays and international tenants, rather than smaller businesses. Europe, US, and Canada. Under extra pressure because of leases to MG; he sees no real risk there, as MG is very well run with low debt, actual exposure is ~3%. Industrial market has been punished unreasonably, good value for future.
An industrial REIT. About 80% of its holdings are Magna (MG-T) properties. The company has launched a strategic review to see what they can do with their factory assets. The stock is going to be stuck until they know what the review is going to be doing. This has the best balance sheet of any of the REITs in Canada, so has the potential to make some acquisitions. Dividend yield of about 6.2%, which is incredibly safe.