Opinions John Stephenson
GapGPSTOP PICKNov 28, 2016
John StephensonOwned
$25.48
Stock price when the opinion was issued
$21.56
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
specialty stores
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Premium contentPAST TOP PICK
WEAK BUY
Really suffering today, despite the good print. Company estimated $300M in costs due to tariffs, but that tariffs will be neutral in the long term. If you're looking for a retail stock, a good name to buy now.
But is retail a good thing to own? It's a very tough trade, just like airlines. You have to be right, and it's very economically sensitive. Jeff Bezos says that, eventually, all retailers go broke.
specialty stores
SELL
He sold 20 positions and now has his highest cash position (over 60%) since 2008. The reason is that he doesn't know what will happen with the economy and is bracing for a big decline if that happens. If so, he will buy back these shares at a lot lower price. He sold Gap, among others. He often gets Gap emails touting 60-70% off. He sold many retailers, because he expects them to slash prices to move inventory. Higher interest rates are another worry.
specialty stores
Premium contentPAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 14/21, Down 12%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with GPS has triggered its stop at $20. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 19%, considering the previous buy recommendation. We will look for better opportunities.
specialty stores
*Short* Had a good run last quarter, and is up quite substantially, but is up substantially on not a lot of news, and with not anything particularly encouraging. Margins have dropped from 2014, where they were roughly 17%, and are now trending around 10%. Margins are contracting and they are struggling with e-commerce. The bright spot has been Old Navy which has done relatively well. This industry is very fickle in terms of fashion and getting that brand layup. Dividend yield of 3.61%. (Analysts’ price target is $26.20.)