Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly We reiterate GPS as a TOP PICK. The company continues to demonstrate itself as a leader in e-commerce as an apparel retailer. It trades at 12x earnings, compared to peers at 19x. It pays a decent dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 25% of cash flow and cash reserves continue to grow. We would buy this with a relatively tight stop at $20.00 -- looking to achieve $34.00 (upside potential over 45%). Yield 2.12% (Analysts’ price target is $34.25)
(A Top Pick Oct 14/21, Down 12%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with GPS has triggered its stop at $20. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 19%, considering the previous buy recommendation. We will look for better opportunities.
American Eagle is better (he owns it) at a 3% yield and good managers and it just bought a great company, and the stock is getting hammered. So, how can he recommend Gap, whose business is worse?
He sold 20 positions and now has his highest cash position (over 60%) since 2008. The reason is that he doesn't know what will happen with the economy and is bracing for a big decline if that happens. If so, he will buy back these shares at a lot lower price. He sold Gap, among others. He often gets Gap emails touting 60-70% off. He sold many retailers, because he expects them to slash prices to move inventory. Higher interest rates are another worry.
It's turning around. Just reported. Only 1% growth in same-store sales in their largest division, Old Navy, but shares caught fire, even though other divisions should weakness.
Shares had fallen before last week's report. They beat far better same-store sales and an earnings beat which surprised the street. Shares soared over 30% last Friday, hammering short-sellers.
She added to the Gap, purely because of the CEO change, and it's taken time for him to make an impact by hiring new executives to his team, resulting in inventory control and better gross margins. Have been gaining market share for the last 6 quarters.
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Likes CEO. It's been gaining market share for 7 straight quarters as inventory declines the past 8.