Alphabet IncGOOGCOMMENTJan 10, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 13, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
For US technology, there are a bunch of cross currents for a lot of them. There is a potential big benefit if the US allows repatriation of foreign cash. Some, including this one, would be big recipients. This one continues to grow very, very nicely, both its core business and its YouTube franchise. Has a bunch of businesses that are not generating a lot of profits yet, which at some point could crystallize. A 25% grower trading just over the market multiple at closer to 20X earnings.