General Motors CorporationGMRISKYApr 03, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
#2 market share (at 13%) in EVs in the States behind TSLA. Throttling back EV aspirations, still mostly about internal combustion. Street's expecting compound earnings growth of 13% over coming 3 years (pretty good for a mature industry). Trades at 6x PE.
Pretty good chart. A MAGA-protected stock. Cyclical tailwinds. He's not averse to owning.
Tariff talk put it in the crosshairs. But it's executed very well. Tariffs are still a headwind. Reconstructed business plan and moved away from EVs. Maintained good cashflow, and he's expecting ~$12 EPS this year.
CEO has done a fabulous job. Very inexpensive 7x PE. Yield is 0.91%.
What's interesting about some of these domestic automakers is that they handily outperformed TSLA.
Super-cyclical. Depends on the consumer, interest rates and, of course, CUSMA. That said, technicals look fine -- higher highs and higher lows. Has to continue to execute. Buying back shares, increasing dividend.
On a pop, his firm tends not to trim (though it has happened in his career). Because the pop is on good news. Incredibly inexpensive at 6x EV to EBIT. Faced lots of negative headlines, but overcoming headwind of tariffs, and increased guidance for next year. Now the hope is that it forms a base, from which future earnings can rise.
Continues to like it, despite many headwinds, including a $5 billion charge this year from tariffs. Shares used to be incredible cheap in terms of EBITDA. They have a good model and compete well against Ford. They have an EV program. He's happy to sit tight until the wind shifts.
It trades at a low PE, but carries high risk. We're headed for a cyclical downturn in car sales. Car loan rates have jumped from 5.6% to 9% in the past year. Also, few analysts are confident that it can transition easily from gas cars to electric or how to balance the two types. Pure-play Tesla has an edge. Also, the company is heavily unionized. Last year, it suffered supply chain shortages. GM is investing heavily in self-driving cars and ride-hailing, but the street doesn't believe in it, because the future valuation has not budged. Further, GM's market share in China has fallen from 15% to 10%; maybe China's reopening will help. But if the Fed manages a soft landing, this stock will take off.