Stock price when the opinion was issued
Some upside potential as measured by FMV, perhaps 28%. Has set back to technical support. Overall chart for 10 years shows a company whose balance sheet is slowly, slowly eroding. Balance sheet quality is OK, but doesn't make his socks roll up and down. Nice dividend, but not covered for the next 12 months.
Likes the stock and the whole energy infrastructure space. It's a place you can hang out along with gold and yield plays. Doesn't get a lot of respect from the market. Q4 saw a market loss, but that's only 11% of NAV.
Raised dividend by 5%. Baytex deal is accretive by ~1% to stable, long-term cashflows. Likes the infrastructure growth shown in Q4. Strong balance sheet, decent payout ratio, very high dividend. Cheap at 11.7x PE for 2027, and modelling ~14% EPS growth.
You are basically looking at key infrastructure assets, that will do very, very well as we continue to expand the oil sands, tank storage in particular. Those are crucial assets that would be very, very difficult to replace. There are better names to own in the area, in between the pipeline and the producer. The dividend is high, and they are going to have to grow into that. At this stage, he thinks you can find companies that have already done the growing of the dividend.