Stockchase Opinions

David Driscoll Fomento Economico Mexican FMX-N PARTIAL BUY Aug 25, 2020

Their Mexican consumer discretionary, owning gas stations, pharmacies and convenience stores across Latin America, and hold an interest in Heineken beer. He has owned this since 2000. The only things holding this stock back are the decline in the Peso and the huge outbreak in Latin America. So, people aren't filling up their gas tanks or buying as much from pharmacies. The dividend of 2.4% is safe. It's an ADR in US dollars. The payout will remain the same, but will fluctuate with the Peso. The stock is down 35%. Hang on and see if COVID cases decline. He has limit orders in place. You can do a half-position and now and see what happens, but the stock is expensive now. Play defence.
$58.890

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 7/16. Up 0.45%.) Not just Coca-Cola. They have convenience stores under the Oxo brand, and have been buying pharmacies in both Mexico, Latin and Central America. Have also been buying gas stations.

TOP PICK

It is a trading stock. He bought around $89 and expects to sell it around $100. There is a really well defined trading range. It is a good looking trade.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Oct 5/16, Down 12.52%) He sold it as it approached $100, as he had said to do. This is the most fun, easy way to trade. It is a Peso play. It is ideal in the low $80s. He is waiting to see if the Peso confirms the uptrend and then he would buy it.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 7/16. Down 2.69%.) A perfect example for these 3 past Top Picks to be able to take advantage in the fall, for buying more of them to dollar cost average. With the Trump victory, the peso was getting crushed. Unfortunately, this company went down with it, simply because it was Mexican, even though they don’t do any business in the US. They are the Coca-Cola bottler outside of the US. They have OXO convenience stores and gas stations, and have gone into pharmacies all through Mexico, Latin America and south America. Their earnings are good, they are still opening gas stations, and have about 20,000 OXO stores, and now are adding gas pumps with them. Earnings are growing at a fairly decent clip.

BUY

Largest Coca-Cola bottler in Latin America. Owns Heineken shares and owns the Oxxo store chain. Has added gas stations to their Oxxo stores. Doing well on a fundamental basis, but they're getting hurt by low pesos and global slowdown. Latin America usually gets hit first.

TOP PICK
Consumer staples in EM. Through Mexico, Latin and South America. Gas stations, convenience stores, and pharmacies. Recent acquisition in Europe. Free cashflow generator as the only game in town. 18-20x future earnings. Shares should pick up when US interest rates stop rising. Yield is 2.19%. (Analysts’ price target is $91.53)
TOP PICK

They own beers, like Heineken, which they recently sold down to raise $3.5 billion. The market rewarded that. Also own convenience stores and Coca-Cola bottling (the biggest franchisee int he world). Will invest that cash in pharmacies and stores. A good way to get exposure to the US-Mexico border and Latin America, where they have stores. Can raise convenience store goods to offset inflation.

(Analysts’ price target is $104.23)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 25/23, Up 29%)

Stock's performed well. Starting to reduce its position in Heineken, with more focus on core strengths. Its digital loyalty program is growing by leaps and bounds, revenue up 20% YOY. Benefitting from onshoring. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 29/22, Up 69%)

He suffered owning this for 5 years. Is up because near-shoring is costing less for US consumers while the Mexican government recovers. He was patient with this; it's up 60% this year.