Stockchase Opinions

Colin Fisher Flyht Aerospace Solutions FLY-X COMMENT May 11, 2016

Technically it looks like it has been creating a long-term base. Over the years, this really hasn’t done a lot of what they had anticipated doing. Making changes on small planes takes a long time to go through FAA and all the regulators. They are trying to move into getting real time pulses up to satellites, in order to track planes. This would be an advantage over having to find a flight recorder. The technology seems to be quite good. The issue is how planes get retrofitted, the ability to get into the flight bag, etc. with some of the larger suppliers.

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COMMENT
Black box technology for airplanes. It is starting to turn heads again. He is going to look at it again.
WATCH
He just met management. An impressive story. It's taken them a long time to get traction. They do live "black box" technology for planes, so there's a lot of data to monetize. He's still studying it to see how big it can get.
DON'T BUY
Frustrating. Fails to take flight. They haven't achieved massive adoption of their technology. The Malaysian Airlines disappearance didn't lead to that. They've had to come back to the market several times for financing which hurts the stock.
BUY
Q3 results had revenues up solidly. Could be a very profitable winter. Really likes the stock. Safety communications technology for planes. Save airlines money with diagnostics. Feels it's about to take off.
COMMENT

He has followed them for some time now. They have the ability to connect to a satellite network for locating aircraft. They also have modules to aid in fuel efficiencies. They have worked with Boeing and others that has been tested for over 1 million flight hours. WestJet is to become a customer.

BUY

A frustrating stock. Here it's a buy. Super-promising business. Provide streaming of data to the ground, which saves customers money. Major developments in last 6 months that are pushing the company forward. Westjet became their first tier-one customer, so this is the crack in the door.

BUY
They have a satelite based location system for airlines. The software can also monitor mechanical efficiencies. Although there are not a lot of planes flying today, when they return this will be a valuable tool. They have over 3 million flying hours in testing. Within 6 months he expects contracts to be awarded due to increased regulations. He does not own it yet.
WATCH
It is interesting technology. They have telemetry applications for airlines and the thought is that the airlines or manufacturers would mass-adopt this technology. He has not seen the ramp up in revenue and earnings in the time-frame he expected. They are in a constant need for financing.
HOLD
Frustrating stock as technology and team is strong. Returns not materializing yet. Recent acquisition will help company grow. Government mandates for company technology not being enforced. Expecting another share issuance to dilute shares.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research.

Profit of 1c per share beat estimates of -1c. 
Revenue of $7.2M beat estimates by 11.4%. EBITDA was positive $1.17M vs an expected loss of $305,000. Sales rose 186% so certainly a nice improvement. Margin was 67% up from 49.5%. 
Profit was the highest in three years as the airline sector recovered from covid. 
All four categories grew in the quarter. 
Considering some macro and cost pressures, this was a good quarter. 
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