Opinions
Stephen Groff
Fluor Corp.
FLR-N
DON'T BUY
Feb 14, 2018
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Had a bit of a speed bump a couple years ago with quick CEO successions. Last couple of years have been good. Last earnings report was not great. Revenues missed. Could be due to project decisions were put on hold for the elections due to uncertainty. Watching to make sure it gets back on track. Some concerns but it is a good quality company.
Premium contentThe world renowned engineering company stock has been sliding, despite recently reporting $1.8 billion net income and an 11% increase in revenue — which fell marginally short of analyst expectations. The company has a long runway of projects including a LNG export project in Canada. It trades at 12x earnings, 1.6x book and supports a robust 72% ROE. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $29, looking to achieve $52 — upside potential over 40%. Yield 0%
(Analysts’ price target is $52.89)Premium contentWe reiterate this global infrastructure company, involved in energy, construction and data centres, as a TOP PICK. It trades at 12x earnings, 1.5x book and supports a robust 72% ROE. We recommend maintaining a tight stop at $29, looking to achieve $47 -- upside potential of 36%. Yield 0.4%
(Analysts’ price target is $47.50)Premium contentPremium contentPremium contentPremium contentPremium contentOur PAST TOP PICK with FLR has triggered its stop at $48. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. Combined with our previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 35%.
He still likes it, but with it up 50% in a short period of time he feels there is a lot or optimism build into the price. He feels management has botched 3 or 4 projects. Still a good business, but not a buy at this price.