Stock price when the opinion was issued
He sold it at $295 recently. Loves the company, but earnings revisions came down. He bought at $262. He may re-buy it if the price and valuation are right. FedEx is a dominant player and the management team proves they can execute. The founder family still owns a lot of shares, and such families don't make crazy decision to preserve their stake. Also, cost savings and a huge share buyback are plusses. Also, they have fewer unionized employees than UPS.
Last night, they reported a surprisingly good quarter, so shares jumped 2.3%. It has struggled since summer 2024 and especially during the tariff spring of 2025. Is still -17.6% this year and has been downgraded recently. Total revenue is +3% YOY, driven by core FedEx express business. Adjusted EPS easily beat and issued a positive full-year forecast. They raised revenue growth outlook. Cutbacks, like removing stations and pick-up times, (Network 2.0) is cutting costs without angering customers. Also, are making their European business more efficiency with more productivity. He sees more upside, though is a little cautious due to tariffs. FedEx has done very well navigating this tricky economy. Trades at under 13x PE, cheap. Pays a safe 2.5% dividend.
Looking at a long-term chart, this company has done extremely well, and has certainly participated in this broader rally. It’s doing very well and is a beneficiary of a very good market. Also, they are very well-managed and there is a lot to look forward to. Look at the costs embedded in in their P&L, delivery costs, labour, fuel costs, equipment costs, 150,000 vehicles and 800 airplanes. All this is changing. We are going to autonomous driving and drone delivery at some point. That is going to change the whole model in their favour. Trades at a very reasonable multiple, about 15 or 16 times earnings.