Mike Vinokur
FedEx
FDX-N
PAST TOP PICK
Jan 07, 2025
(A Top Pick May 09/24, Up 7%)
He sold it at $295 recently. Loves the company, but earnings revisions came down. He bought at $262. He may re-buy it if the price and valuation are right. FedEx is a dominant player and the management team proves they can execute. The founder family still owns a lot of shares, and such families don't make crazy decision to preserve their stake. Also, cost savings and a huge share buyback are plusses. Also, they have fewer unionized employees than UPS.
They reported a strong quarter last night and shares jumped 15% today, but what really caught the street's eye was the large share buyback they announced. It shows confidence.
It's underperformed UPS, but shares have recovered a lot this year due to new management. Merging fleet and air operations helped by lowering costs. They have problems with overseas margins. Prefers Cargojet.
It reports Thursday. They're working hard to reduce costs and improve gross margins. This is a nervous period for them because of the coming holiday season.
The CEO is doing a fine job in a very difficult time with all these tariffs. A very good company though can't advise buying a stock that went up 10% today [note: the wider market was up 10% too].
He sold in November but still likes it a lot and has put it on their potential buy list if it gets to their price. There is concern over a drop-off in demand.
It reported last night. Their B2B has been stuck in neutral, though B2C is okay. FedEx missed numbers, but they have cut costs. The price now is an opportunity, but won't rally until we see how the tariffs shake-out. FDX depends alot on cross-border shipping.
He sold it at $295 recently. Loves the company, but earnings revisions came down. He bought at $262. He may re-buy it if the price and valuation are right. FedEx is a dominant player and the management team proves they can execute. The founder family still owns a lot of shares, and such families don't make crazy decision to preserve their stake. Also, cost savings and a huge share buyback are plusses. Also, they have fewer unionized employees than UPS.