Opinions
Fabrice Taylor
Exchange Income
EIF-T
COMMENT
May 08, 2018
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Beat on aviation in Q3, raised 2025 guidance on the back of their latest acquisition of Spartan. Lumpy, not as steady a compounder as BIP.UN. Always kind of cheap, now 13x PE for 2026 and growing 17%. Nice dividend, which will probably be boosted; payout ratio is fine.
Not for everyone. Small cap that gets forgotten, so that's a good reason to own.
Their transportation business in the far north is largely a monopoly. They've bought some fine companies and pay a good dividend, but leaves little cash. So when they buy a company, they do an equity issue. Some of their businesses are highly protected with a moat, good. But their industrial business carries economic/tariff risk. Dividend, valuation and management are all good. An income, not a growth stock.
Business is 80% aviation, 20% manufacturing. Recent acquisition looks accretive. Trades ~12x, growing ~16%. Money's flowing into safer areas like this one. Good balance sheet. Payout ratio is 68%, will probably boost dividend in the next year or two. Real growth engine is from being in the north and having really good pricing power.
Only thing is, if we're in for rocky markets, you'll probably get a chance to buy cheaper.
Chart looks very decent. At, or close to, an all-time high. Might see a bit of resistance, but looks to have some good upward motion. Trying to break out, and looks as though it can. Yield is 4.6%.
Could easily drop to $54. Not a lot of support below $50, so start reducing if it gets there.
Really likes the name, good business. Making all-time highs, expensive here. Doing all the right things, growing its dividend. Often the only airline in a Northern Canada region, so it's a monopoly. Owner/CEO is the real driving force, and she wants more clarity on the continuity plan. Yield is 4.2%.
This company has had a hard time with aggressive short sellers. They have responded with insider buying and by raising the dividend. This is a conglomerate. They have some good businesses, but he always gets nervous with companies that acquire other businesses. He’s not nervous about the short sellers, thinks they’ve been proven wrong. The yield is quite generous, over 7%, but this is a hard company to analyze because it has so many moving parts.