Stock price when the opinion was issued
This is simply institutional debts. They are taking the yen on a daily basis and converting it back into the US$ and hedging that whole entire situation out of it. The day that the tsunami and Japanese earthquake occurred, he took a position in this which turned out to be an incredibly good run for him, but then he got stopped out in 2013. Thinks there is a long ways to go here.
(A Top Pick May 13/15. Up .04%.) Had thought 2015 would be a consolidation year in the markets and expects we will be in the malaise through to the end of the year. Also, thought the areas of the world, where they were doing a lot of stimulus, would probably play catch-up. Earnings are probably going to be pretty good in the 2nd half of the year, but the problem is you are going to have a weaker currency.
(A Top Pick May 13/15. Up 0.25%.) This is dealing with a quantitative easing in Japan that he thinks will provide some oomph to their economy over the next 12 months. It is equivalent to what the US did in QE 3. This is a significant program which he thinks will have a benefit. The problem you have is that the currency typically declines when the value of the assets go up, because you are printing more money. You want to hedge the currency out, but he didn’t want to hedge it to the Cdn$. He doesn’t like quantitative easing. Thinks we are kicking down the road the damage that was caused by the financial crisis.
A good ETF. Everybody can recite the bearish case of Japan, aging demographics as well as loads of debt. If you look at what has happened to Japan, imagine 30 years of an overvalued currency and chronic deflation. That makes the corporate sector extremely lean and extremely efficient. The turning point is that the ROE has been elevated for the last few years.
A hedge is always good. It means you are not taking currency risks. However, this is traded in US$. As a Canadian investor you still have US$ exposure. The hedge is between the US$ and the Japanese yen, not against the Cdn$. Chart shows it has had a pretty good run up, but there is resistance at around $60. The Japanese economy is not exactly firing on all cylinders. Japan is still suffering from deflation and very sluggish growth because of Asian demographics among other things. If you have some profits on this, make sure you take some.