Opinions
Phil Taller
Dunkin' Brands Group
DNKN-Q
COMMENT
Jun 28, 2013
$42.820
Stock price when the opinion was issued
food services
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PARTIAL BUY
Tim Hortons (THI-T) or Dunkin’ Brands (DNKN-Q)? This chart shows a lot more stability, but, like Tim Hortons, there is a little bit of pause and usually these pauses get corrected to the upside. If it broke below around $44.50, that would indicate something is wrong. The next support would be around $42. You may want to hedge your bet by taking a half position in both.
food services
DON'T BUY
They have been a fairly attractive, low price provider of ‘junk’ food. There has been a shift in North America toward more healthy eating and they have not gone that way so he would stay away from it. He sees value in SBUX-Q, with 21k stores in 66 countries with a brand as strong as ever.
food services
TOP PICK
It is a similar experience to Tim Horton’s. They are primarily a NE company in the US. They are going to try to roll out nationally with a 1000 stores by the end of 2020. He likes the regional to national play. They are also growing internationally. It is a 100% franchise model. He has an $85 target. Yield 2.0%. (Analysts’ price target is $73.75)
food services
Advertising
Likes the company. An impressive business. Has a great market position in the US, similar to what a Tim Hortons (THI-T) might have in Canada. They also own the Baskin-Robbins brand, which has great global growth. Pretty fully valued.