Duvernay Oil Corp (DDV.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Duvernay Oil Corp (DDV.TO)

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TOP PICK

Not cheap right now. Trading at about 7.8 X cash flow. Production has been excellent. Strong management team. With increasing production lowering its costs going forward and an exemplorary record of exploration success, it's a high quality name.

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BUY

Duvernay (DDV-T) and Cyries (CYS-T) are both great Canadian natural gas plays. Have performed tremendously well. Great management. Expects $7 per share cash flow next year.

BUY

Expensive at 8 to 9 X cash flow, but would rather pay up for good management than bottom fish on poor management.

BUY

Production is growing about 45% this year. Currently at 11,000 barrels a day and is going to 15,600. Relatively inexpensive. EBITDA multiple of about 3.5.

BUY

One of the crack teams in Canada that are able to produce, identify and are responding with good increase in production.

TOP PICK

Highly focused on natural gas. An incredibly impressive company in its ability to generate exploration prospects, drill them successfully and get them into production. Have the most impressive prospect list of any company. Trades at about 8 X this year's cash flow and his target price is based on 9 X next year's. Very lofty valuations.

BUY

Has had a very nice run. Could see the high $30's in a 12 month time frame. Not overly cheap at 7 X enterprise value EBITDA basis which is a little bit above its resource peers. Has great prospects.

TOP PICK

Producing about 11,000 barrels a day now. Have had a consitent track record of growing production per share. Well managed. Expensive, but you are getting good future value for it.

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BUY

Exceptionally strong at finding their own production growth. Have upgraded their production estimates 6 times. Good management. Currently producing 11,500 BOE's a day and expects them to exit the year at 17,000. Tremendous growth rate. Tightly run operation.

TOP PICK

A growth story. Last year's production was about 6,200 BOE's per day which is going to about 11,500. Costs are fairly reasonable. Clean balance sheet.

BUY

Quite possible that it will change into a trust. A very well run company. Management is one of the best teams in Calgary. Has a great portfolio of plays in front of it.

DON'T BUY

Has been a very good performing stock. Extremely expensive. Feels it will have good production growth per share. Trades at 5/6 X net asset value.

HOLD

Still has some interesting progress to be made. Were recently tying in some wells and hasn't seen that production yet. Well through the 10,000 barrel a day number which indicates the possibility of changing into a trust. Good management. Probably fully priced right now.

BUY

Extremely good at exploration. Huge amount of cash is coming in. Great management. Trades at a good healthy premium to its Net Asset Value. This would be a momentum pick that would move if oil stayed high. Risk.

BUY

One of the more popular juniors. Feels that New York money is coming in and that's why the juniors didn't react too much to the jump in oil. 77% gas. Well through the 10,000 barrels a day and rising nicely. Looks like a trust in the making. Still has some upside.

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Duvernay Oil Corp (DDV.TO)