Opinions Stan Wong
DoordashDASHTOP PICKOct 09, 2025
Stan WongStock price when the opinion was issued
As of May 27, 2026. Market Open.
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On her radar since it pulled back. Lots of competition in food delivery. No longer just food delivery, trying to become a local commerce platform. Investors want proof that it can scale without burning cash. Margins are still fragile. Now an execution story, no longer a disruption story.
Prefers UBER.
Fits the secular, on-demand theme going on around the world -- "If I want something, I want it as soon as possible." Last-mile delivery has been difficult for companies, but DASH is very good at this. Commands 65% of the US food delivery market, astounding. Expanding quickly into grocery, alcohol, and retail, as well as international markets. Leader in digital convenience.
Strong brand recognition. Expects 2026 revenue to top $16B. Subscriptions provide high-margin opportunities, including advertising. Sees 25+% EPS growth going forward and double-digit revenue expansion. No dividend.
Stan WongQ1 revenue jumped 21% to a record $3 billion. Total orders are up 18%.
Kevin SimpsonHe recently bought. It's risky. But they offer a convenience that will never go away. They have 67% market share and were profitable for the first time last quarter. The forward PE remains high, but they have 25-30% revenue growth. Have great cash flow and margins.
Kevin SimpsonLast week, they reported a beat on every line item, including 23% revenue growth YOY and total orders 91% YOY, with improved guidance. From the pandemic, people are used to using food delivery apps, given order frequency and customer retention, while digital penetration is growing including their monthly subscription.
Fits the evolving themes of convenience and last-mile logistics. Controls about 65% of the US food-delivery market. Evolving into a broader commerce platform -- groceries, convenience, retail. Loyalty drives higher order frequency. Margins and profitability improving. Using AI to improve order flow.
(Analysts’ price target is $298.89)Expected earnings growth going forward is very strong at 30-35%. There is competition, but being the leader counts for a lot. And because the market's expanding, there's room for everybody to grow. No dividend.