Chevron TexacoCVXCOMMENTDec 09, 2010Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 23, 2026. Market Open.
It is second, size wise, in the US. It has put up great numbers and is the only US major with a foothold now in Venezuela. This is a potential catalyst going forward. It has kept its asset value in Venezuela, which is improving in fiscal, security and political perspectives with the US government now involved. Also has refining capacity.
Wouldn't own now. Had a good rally, and has been outperforming off the Venezuela noise. They patronize Trump the most, and so they got preferential status, while Exxon calls the country "uninvestable". Has modest operations in Venezuela of 2% of its volumes and cashflow.
Huge rally on Trump guaranteeing security, which he's backpedaled on. Too much euphoria in the hype. Trades at a premium. He'd invest in CVE instead.
Oil stocks rallied hard today on news that Columbian president Maduro has been captured, but stocks like this opened too high. So, you must expect losses. The oil story where US oil stocks will benefit from Venezuela's reserves will take YEARS to play out, not days. Nobody will buy these stocks as soon as tomorrow. Also, the oil price has been going down.
She sold late last year for profits but she still likes it for its profitability. There will be some volatility with the energy cycles. Trades at 11 times 2026 free cash flow and pays a dividend of 4%. She sees only 7% upside but has it on her watch list and could trade it.
He stays home for oil and gas stocks, especially because years of underappreciating Canada has led to lower valuations. For dividends coming from the O&G patch, especially in Canada where they're tax-effective, there's no better place to be. With this name, you're buying the oil price, but he believes more in the gas price.