Opinions
Lorne Steinberg
Cisco
CSCO-Q
TOP PICK
Apr 09, 2018
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Splunk acquisition in cybersecurity segment has secured a lot more recurring revenue for the company. Steady eddy. Keeps making good acquisitions and integrating. Good management, balance sheet, and dividend yield.
Not cheap anymore, so he sold on the valuation call. Nothing wrong with the business per se if you have a very long horizon.
King of the networking stocks. Hit their stride, mainly because of NVDA selling out of Blackwell and H20 and so on. Started beating on top and bottom, raising guidance (even during the tariff time). Pretty fully priced, with a $70.75 price target within 12 months.
Another play in Edge AI. Kinetic for Cities is Edge AI that you can put on sensors around a city for water, traffic, air, everything. Poster child for this application is Singapore. King of routers and switches, but Edge AI will be very intriguing for them. His 12-month price target is $75.50. Yield is 2.44%.
(Analysts’ price target is $71.54)Historically, is a good allocator of capital (dividends, buybacks), but lacks growth. They partly returned to growth on the $30 billion purchase of Splunk to drive their cybersecurity business. In turn, this drives earnings and margins. Are a free cash flow machine.
Has US$35 billion in net cash. Raised their dividend 14% recently and he foresees double-digit increases for years to come. They're number one for 20 years in their four major businesses. A major player in cyber security. Well-managed company which keeps buying back stock and increasing their dividend. They will repatriate a large part of its cash. (Analysts' price target $48.30)