Stock price when the opinion was issued
High quality, stock's done reasonably well. Overhang on this name and CNR because of tariff talk and what that would do to the shipment of goods across the border, a potential headwind to watch. Strong dividend. Add and hold for the next 10-30 years, as rails will continue to be an important mode of transportation across NA.
First-class management. Most unique footprint of any rail in NA. Tariff uncertainty impacts it the most, as it facilitates trade among US, Canada, and Mexico. It's held in really well. Attractive 20x PE, but tariffs will impact growth.
He did think about exiting, as he looked out over 4 years and saw potential economic weakness on the horizon. But it's a trophy asset, one to own long term. He decided to hold on, and to buy a bit more if it does get hit.
Good idea. She owns CNR. Together, CP and CNR have a duopoloy within Canada plus operations in the US. Rails have not performed that well this past year. Tariffs won't impact directly, but risk is that economic slowdown would affect volumes. CNR trades ~18x forward PE, and wide discount to CP, so she'd pick CNR.
Owns both, core holdings. No one's building any more rails. Cheaper to ship commodities by rail than any other way. If an economic slowdown, traffic and volumes will slow down but it's still a pretty steady business.
If the trade war goes on, everything gets more expensive and these two will be impacted negatively. But these events are always temporary. Trade wars are not good for inflation or the economy with US mid-term elections only 2 years away. He's trusting that rational minds will prevail.