David Cockfield
Compton Petroleum
CMT-T
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Jul 28, 2005
Went through a bit of a down period. Had trouble tying in their wells. Seem to be better at finding them. Had some concern, but seems to have sorted it out. Have excellent land that they're drilling. Had quite a run and could possibly check back for a bit.
Doing a lot of the things right. Debt is still high. A little more gas weighted. It has gone from a sell to a hold. A year or more of patients and you will be rewarded.
Not a better stock if you believe in $10 gas. Leverage has been an awful situation. Sold some assets so debt to cash flow is still unbelievably levered. Only catalyst for growth is the price of Natural Gas.
Prefers oil to gas as gas is in for a difficult period. You have to be very selective on the type of companies for gas exposure. Look for ones that are operating in the top quartile. This one doesn't fit those criteria. Carry a lot of debt so he questions the real equity value.
Ran into production and management problems and very much on the gas side. Expect the company will have difficulty surviving. If you own consider for a tax loss.