Chipotle Mexican GrillCMGPAST TOP PICKJan 18, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
More of a value play. Long track record of successfully making adjustments. Well run, lots of brand loyalty. Not the perfect environment for this type of business, but that's being reflected in the stock price (down 25-30%).
Earnings yesterday were not amazing. Same-store sales declined, yet the stock didn't really get punished. A positive, as that tells him the turnaround story is being believed. It'll take some time, but there is upside if it can execute on the turnaround. Opening new stores is a capital expenditure, but management has proven that those moves can increase ROI. No dividend.
Positioning appeals to a broad demographic, especially younger consumers who are more focused on quality and sustainability. Same-store sales expected to grow 6-7% this year. Brand still has pricing power. Store expansion is aggressive (300 stores this year) but disciplined. Efficiency is key to the story.
Not cheap, but justified. Track record of execution, clean balance sheet. Reports today after the bell, and she expects a beat. No dividend.
*Short* (A Top Pick Nov 3/17, Up 11%) It was a combination of an e-coli scare, overvaluation and a growth stock becoming a value play. It is still not a cheap enough stock for him to find any level of support.