Stockchase Opinions

Eric Nuttall Canadian Energy Services & Technology CEU-T BUY Mar 11, 2025

He sold it and did well. His interest in energy service stocks is low, because he doesn't see the US rig count increasing. Gas production growth will happen not until latter this year and into 2026. Pure play natural gas and/or oil will do better. Offshore is a potentially new market for them. Free cash flow is 19%. This and the sector are undervalued. This has good upside.

$6.870

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas field services
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COMMENT

Really likes management and the company. With the commodity price coming off this much, it is probably down 60% or so. They supply the fluids to the companies that are drilling. Longer-term, this is one of the higher-quality names in terms of management and operations.

DON'T BUY

Secure Energy Services (SES-T) or Canadian Energy Services & Technology (CEU-T)? He is not really into the service names. This cut its dividend earlier this year and is only paying about .05%. Secure Energy has a 2.5% dividend yield. If you are looking for dividend exposure, Secure would be the one. Service companies are going to struggle for an extended period, particularly if oil starts to come up like he thinks it might. The balance sheet on both companies are very well positioned, but you might just have to wait on this, and right now is not the time to be buying it.

TOP PICK

This sells drilling fluids and specialty chemicals. Gets about two thirds of revenue from the US, where they are expanding in the Permian play in Texas. Expects they will continue to ramp up. It has had a good run up over the last year, but is down from its highs of around $8.60 or so. He is expecting tremendous upside. Has a price target of $11. He sees continued growth from this sector in the US, and if we get a rebound in Canada as well, this company will be well positioned. (Analysts’ price target is $9.50.)

TOP PICK

They are in the services side of the energy picture. Last quarter its margins came down because of rising input costs that they have not been able to pass off. They took market share from competitors. If you look at the inflection point with OPEC, their production could go up and prices would go up as their reserves go down. (Analysts’ target: $8.14).

DON'T BUY

He is not enamored by the service fluid space. He feels there is not a strong negotiation position with customers, so he does not think they are benefiting from higher commodity prices.

DON'T BUY
Capital issues? He would avoid this as he owns no service companies right now. Producers have been marginal with cash flow to survive, but there has been no surplus cash flow to increase drilling activity. CEU sells chemicals to US producers and have been forced to cut prices on their product. He thinks the market is in a new normal, focusing on debt re-payment. This will place a longer term cap on activity levels.
TOP PICK
One of the largest producers of drilling fluids. Rig count has taken off like crazy. 65% revenue from US, with 17% market share. 35% revenue from Canada, with dominant market share. $11 target price in 4-5 years. Strong balance sheet. Diversifying internationally. He buys on weakness. Yield is 2.39%. (Analysts’ price target is $3.53)
PARTIAL BUY

Strong performance lately. Expecting further growth. Selling drilling & production fluids. Well run company. Energy services companies have had a tough time. Very cyclical business - would recommend a small weighting. 

TOP PICK

It has exceeded consensus estimates for the last 5 years with growing revenue margins, working capital and debt reduction. A recent acquisition should add to growth. Energy demand is rising and management is strong. Impressive free cash flow yield looks impressive. She sees 32% upside.

(Analysts’ price target is $10.41)