Stockchase Opinions

Brian Acker, CA Canada Bread Co. CBY-T BUY Jul 25, 2002

Great company. Earnings keep going up.
$22.000

Stock price when the opinion was issued

food processing
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BUY
Likes the consumer staple sector. Prefers over Maple Leaf which is a majority shareholder (and maight take them private). The EBITA growthis around 9.3%
BUY
Has done phenomenally well. Looks like Maple Leaf is looking to take the company private. Squeeze play as the remaining float only costitutes 13% of the company. This is the reason for the stock increase, not the fundamentals of the company. They are making in the $3 vicinity and might improve 10% in the forward year. Too rich. Prefers George Weston (WN-T).
DON'T BUY
Chart shows a long base running from 2000 to mid-2004 and surprised everyone with a spike. Never buy into a spike. If it makes a low of about $50, SELL.
DON'T BUY
Has gotten a little bit ahead of itself. Very good business. Has a duopoly in the baking business in Canada. Actually benefiting from the rising commodity costs, which they can pass on to the end customer.
TOP PICK
Stable business for an uncertain time. A duopoly in the fresh bakery business between Weston and Canada Bread. Have 43% market share. Great balance sheet. Trades at only 5.9X enterprise value to EBITDA versus 7 or 8 times from its US peers. Maple Leaf owns 90% so at some point in time could possibly take the rest over.
TOP PICK
Under followed. 90% owned by Maple Leaf Foods who may buy out 10% minority shareholder. New facility will lead to greater volumes over next couple of years. Stable business. Good dividend and will grow significantly.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 18/11. Up 14.19%.)

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 7/12. Up 18.98%.) 90% controlled by Maple Leaf (MFI-T) which has gone through some of their own issues and are currently under a huge CapX program, which is costing them a lot of money. Believes that in a couple of years, when they are through this expansion, they will be generating a lot of free cash flow and will possibly buy out the remaining 10% of Canada Bread.

BUY

(Market Call Minute) Play through MFI-T, though is better way.

SELL

Maple Leaf foods is changing their overall strategy. Going more over to protein. Price being paid is fair. His temptation is to sell it here. Prefers to buy Maple Leaf a few dollars lower.