Stock price when the opinion was issued
Just recently bought this. It has definitely lagged in the engineering/construction space. There is a lawsuit with Mitsubishi regarding some nuclear business, which hasn’t been settled yet. That has hung over the stock. This fits into the value/cyclical bent that we need to start revisiting. It certainly plays into the whole game with respect to what Trump is trying to do in revitalizing infrastructure. Because of its always seemingly higher oil/gas exposure, this is another reason it has lagged, but could also be one of the catalyst that drives it out. Trading at 7X forward earnings only.
The kind of torque that he thought he would get from an industrial name. It felt like a Trump stock. He still likes it. They have been plagued by a decline in oil prices and oil drilling activity, because they are still perceived to have a very big oil/gas drilling business, but thinks it is lower than what people think.
The long-term track record is actually quite good. However, they are going through some tough times at the moment. Results haven’t been that great and there might have even been a lawsuit against them. They are building in the oil/gas area which has not been great. There will probably be a better opportunity to get it at a lower price. He likes this long term.
This got crushed this week. They had a poor earnings call, but the following sell-off each day was probably sentiment of Trump’s infrastructure package getting delayed, or taken off the table entirely. Their backlog is still pretty good and valuation is about 4.5X earnings. He likes this is a purchase at this time.
Closed at $18.69, and his model price is $22.97, a 23% upside. There was a hint of some accounting irregularities, and he thinks the bad news is out and the stock looks like it is recovering. On earnings, the mean estimate for 2018 is $1.88, so it is 10X earnings. An infrastructure play, and you can’t get any better than that. Had a positive transit of EBV +1 this week.
A solid company. For the most part, this is probably a Buy. Good ROC, and the valuation is pretty reasonable.