Stockchase Opinions

Neil Murdock Citigroup Inc. C-N HOLD Jan 13, 2003

Has had management problems.
$37.040

Stock price when the opinion was issued

banks
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BUY

Owns this and JPM. Trades at a much cheaper 70% of book vs. JPM's 2x book.

TOP PICK

A story of going from very bad to less bad to good. Selling assets. Trades ~7x, in line with other banks. But growing around 24% CAGR over the forecast horizon 2025-27. Beneficiary of the new Trump trade combined with cost cuts. More growth than either JPM or BAC. Yield is 3%.

Own in a registered account.

(Analysts’ price target is $78.99)
BUY

Banks earnings happen next Wednesday: JPM, Goldman, Wells Fargo and Citi. He expects good reports from all. The expected increase in M&A will benefit all. These stocks are off their highs at very low PEs. He's been buying them.

BUY

They reported a strong quarter this week, beating top and bottom lines. Sales and trading saw the biggest growth while costs are under control. They gave the most forward looking guidance of the banks this week. Revenue forecast for 2025 was up and they announced a huge $20 billion share buyback.

BUY

Looks really good at these levels.

BUY

Yield curve's in better shape than it's been for a long time. The space will see lots more M&A. Attractive valuation, looking at 23% growth over the next few years and trading at 8x PE.

TOP PICK

He's trying to play a quiet offence when he's a bit scared of the markets and tariffs. Cheap, tethered, and insulated. Financials really get a bid from Trump -- tax cuts, less regulation, lots more M&A. Yield curve looking a lot better, upward sloping. Beat Q4, earnings up 40%. Investment banking and market revenue also up. Company's expecting ROE to improve to 10-11% in 2026. Trades under 9x. Very favourable risk/reward. Yield is 2.7%, decent.

Reducing global presence by exiting unprofitable businesses is really helping earnings by lowering costs.

(Analysts’ price target is $89.20)
WEAK BUY

You'll be OK if you have your heart set on this one. He always prefers JPM.

TOP PICK

Owns several US banks. The yield curve is steepening and the regulatory backdrop is now more favourable to the banks. The post-2008 safeguards have built huge capital in these banks and is starting to be released. Citi trades at a 24% discount to tangible book value which will compress and catch up to peers.

(Analysts’ price target is $90.30)
BUY

Are buying back 15% of their shares and trading at 80% of tangible book value, which is immediately accretive. Add to this lower compliance costs as regulation goes down. Is bullish the sector.