Opinions
Benj Gallander
Bellatrix Exploration Ltd.
BXE-T
COMMENT
Nov 24, 2017
$2.480
Stock price when the opinion was issued
oil
gas
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They are more levered towards natural gas. It all comes down to being able to live with the volatility. Anything related to Montney natural gas is betting on LNG, which may not come quickly enough. He would stay away.
oil
gas
COMMENT
Debt concerns? BXE took bankruptcy protection when debt became too much. There is no equity value in it any longer. Companies that have debt that matures in 2020 or 2021 will have issues. He sees no issues with BIR or TVE on this topic. The new Federal relief program for large companies may be difficult for companies to accept as it has provisions for up to 15% of ownership being made available in warrants to the government.
oil
gas
He would suggest looking at the goodwill on the balance sheet. If they have to write it down a long way, that would really hurt the BV. They have a tremendous amount of debt, so they are not out of the woods. Has huge upside potential. Oil and gas has come back in favour to some degree. Worth a look, but expects there will be more tax loss selling and it could go down a lot further.