
NYSE:BTI
A clear mean-reversion trade. Historically, it traded between 4.4-6.8. With its 9% yield, you only have to wait 8 years, and then every dollar earned is playing with the house's money. In a recession, income is a scarce commodity. Probably a buyback next year. Transitioning to consumables. You may not like its product, but it's good downside protection. Yield is 9.14%.
(Analysts’ price target is $44.94)
Pays a 9.5% dividend, so over 10 years, you've returned 95% of your capital, assuming no dividend cut. But there is a huge ESG overhang in this sector; everybody hates tobacco stocks. Debt is paid down and the balance sheet is fine, so there's no real risk. The company is transitioning away from burning cigarettes.