
NYSE:BTI
This summary was created by AI, based on 2 opinions in the last 12 months.
British American Tobacco (BTI-N) has shown notable price fluctuations recently, with a strong run followed by a sell-off largely influenced by ESG concerns. Despite the price pullback, the company offers a sustainable dividend, encouraging investors to consider trimming their holdings without entirely divesting to maintain income. Recent earnings reports indicated that organic revenue growth is potentially at the higher end of its 1-2% range, signaling modest improvement in performance. However, the guidance for organic operating profit remains steady, reflecting ongoing investments in next-generation products amid increasing competition. With a recent recovery in US revenues, BAT is focusing on maximizing profits from its traditional cigarette business, yet the stock's valuation has risen significantly, leading to questions about the sustainability of its recent gains.
A clear mean-reversion trade. Historically, it traded between 4.4-6.8. With its 9% yield, you only have to wait 8 years, and then every dollar earned is playing with the house's money. In a recession, income is a scarce commodity. Probably a buyback next year. Transitioning to consumables. You may not like its product, but it's good downside protection. Yield is 9.14%.
(Analysts’ price target is $44.94)
Pays a 9.5% dividend, so over 10 years, you've returned 95% of your capital, assuming no dividend cut. But there is a huge ESG overhang in this sector; everybody hates tobacco stocks. Debt is paid down and the balance sheet is fine, so there's no real risk. The company is transitioning away from burning cigarettes.