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Opinions David Burrows
Bristol Myers SquibbBMYDON'T BUYJul 23, 2024
Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 28, 2026. Market Open.
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She hopes healthcare stocks rebound; they've been up this year and being beaten down for a long time. BMY is +19% this year. Trades below 10x PE and produce $11 billion free cash flow this year, $15 billion in 2027, pays over a 4% dividend. There's value here. With their cash flow, they can buy their way to growth.
EPS of $1.63 beat estimates of $1.52 and sales of $12.2B beat estimates of $11.8B. Sales grew 3%, and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5B to $48.0B. Its growth portfolio sales of newer/higher-growth drugs were up 18% year-over-year, while its legacy portfolio sales were down 12%. These were decent results, and the price action looks decent, we think there is possibility that the name can rebound eventually if its growth portfolio continues to outpace its legacy portfolio.
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EPS of $1.63 beat estimates of $1.52 and sales of $12.2B beat estimates of $11.8B. Sales grew 3%, and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5B to $48.0B. Its growth portfolio sales of newer/higher-growth drugs were up 18% year-over-year, while its legacy portfolio sales were down 12%. These were decent results, and the price action looks decent, we think there is possibility that the name can rebound eventually if its growth portfolio continues to outpace its legacy portfolio.
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EPS of $1.63 beat estimates of $1.52 and sales of $12.2B beat estimates of $11.8B. Sales grew 3%, and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5B to $48.0B. Its growth portfolio sales of newer/higher-growth drugs were up 18% year-over-year, while its legacy portfolio sales were down 12%. These were decent results, and the price action looks decent, we think there is possibility that the name can rebound eventually if its growth portfolio continues to outpace its legacy portfolio.
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EPS of $1.63 beat estimates of $1.52 and sales of $12.2B beat estimates of $11.8B. Sales grew 3%, and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5B to $48.0B. Its growth portfolio sales of newer/higher-growth drugs were up 18% year-over-year, while its legacy portfolio sales were down 12%. These were decent results, and the price action looks decent, we think there is possibility that the name can rebound eventually if its growth portfolio continues to outpace its legacy portfolio.
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They have huge oncology franchise, but face a huge patent cliff. But they have a some promising drugs. He owns this partly for the 5.6% dividend. He took shares off the table when the stock spiked earlier this year, but at current levels, he's watching the price go lower before buying again.
It's turned around in the last 6 months under the new CEO, rallying 40%. In the face of expiring drug patents, they launched a revolutionary schizophrenia drug. He also likes the rest of their pipeline to treat cardiovascular disease and oncology. He bought shares late last year.
His whole mantra is to buy good companies that are getting better. He wants to have a strong fundamental view, and he wants the market to show that it's agreeing with him -- he doesn't want to be alone in the woods in a good market, not participating.
Problem is a fair bit of debt, low growth. In a market like this, you only need 20 companies to get a broadly diversified portfolio. Don't need to take on the risk of this one. Avoid.