Opinions David Burrows
Bristol Myers SquibbBMYDON'T BUYJul 23, 2024
Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 09, 2026. Market Open.
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EPS of $1.63 beat estimates of $1.52 and sales of $12.2B beat estimates of $11.8B. Sales grew 3%, and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5B to $48.0B. Its growth portfolio sales of newer/higher-growth drugs were up 18% year-over-year, while its legacy portfolio sales were down 12%. These were decent results, and the price action looks decent, we think there is possibility that the name can rebound eventually if its growth portfolio continues to outpace its legacy portfolio.
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EPS of $1.63 beat estimates of $1.52 and sales of $12.2B beat estimates of $11.8B. Sales grew 3%, and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5B to $48.0B. Its growth portfolio sales of newer/higher-growth drugs were up 18% year-over-year, while its legacy portfolio sales were down 12%. These were decent results, and the price action looks decent, we think there is possibility that the name can rebound eventually if its growth portfolio continues to outpace its legacy portfolio.
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EPS of $1.63 beat estimates of $1.52 and sales of $12.2B beat estimates of $11.8B. Sales grew 3%, and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5B to $48.0B. Its growth portfolio sales of newer/higher-growth drugs were up 18% year-over-year, while its legacy portfolio sales were down 12%. These were decent results, and the price action looks decent, we think there is possibility that the name can rebound eventually if its growth portfolio continues to outpace its legacy portfolio.
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EPS of $1.63 beat estimates of $1.52 and sales of $12.2B beat estimates of $11.8B. Sales grew 3%, and management raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $47.5B to $48.0B. Its growth portfolio sales of newer/higher-growth drugs were up 18% year-over-year, while its legacy portfolio sales were down 12%. These were decent results, and the price action looks decent, we think there is possibility that the name can rebound eventually if its growth portfolio continues to outpace its legacy portfolio.
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They have huge oncology franchise, but face a huge patent cliff. But they have a some promising drugs. He owns this partly for the 5.6% dividend. He took shares off the table when the stock spiked earlier this year, but at current levels, he's watching the price go lower before buying again.
It's turned around in the last 6 months under the new CEO, rallying 40%. In the face of expiring drug patents, they launched a revolutionary schizophrenia drug. He also likes the rest of their pipeline to treat cardiovascular disease and oncology. He bought shares late last year.
Stock has been hot since the summer when the new CEO took over, then they got approval for their schizophrenia drugs. (Abbvie's drug failed last month.) But BMY has fallen 9% in the past 4 weeks--maybe because of concerns over the group, not the stock. Trades at only 7.9x PE 2025, and pays a 4.4% dividend which just increased last week. The stock is dirt cheap.
His whole mantra is to buy good companies that are getting better. He wants to have a strong fundamental view, and he wants the market to show that it's agreeing with him -- he doesn't want to be alone in the woods in a good market, not participating.
Problem is a fair bit of debt, low growth. In a market like this, you only need 20 companies to get a broadly diversified portfolio. Don't need to take on the risk of this one. Avoid.