Stockchase Opinions

Josef Schachter Blackbird Energy Inc BBI-X WATCH Jan 15, 2018

He met with management last year. They will go from 2000 to 10,000 BOEs capacity in 2019. They are bringing on wells as economically as possible. By Q1’19 they want to be ready. He likes what he has seen in the company.

$0.345

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Energy
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BUY ON WEAKNESS

He likes Blackbird. The stock is trading at $0.37 and has about $0.35 of hard value. They produce about 1200 boe/day, they have 4000 boe/day of capacity. They’re working with Tidewater Midstream to bring a new facilty into service in the area, which will be on in calendar Q2 of 2019, which will give them the ability to ramp up quickly to 10,000 boe/day, 50% liquids. He loves the management team. It has great drilling locations, which offers very economic wells in a great area. He has a $0.70 one-year target and a $2 five-year target.

BUY

They have a plant coming on in Q2 of 2019 to bring their production up. The stock seems expensive now but there is a massive ramp up coming up. He has a $0.72 target. From there they can ramp it up even more.

WAIT

He likes the story. It is on his coverage list but not buy list yet. Will see its growth in 2nd quarter of calendar 2019 as their facility is being built to ramp up production. Has a 1 year target of $0.72 and $2.00 in 3-5 years time. Management team has done well with a large land spread and massive amount of drilling opportunity.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He likes this company and it is on his coverage list. He is holding off buying for now as he expects even better value during the seasonal tax loss selling season in November and December. They did 1270 boed with liquids rich Montney holdings. He sees them getting near 8-10,000 boed as new infrastructure is tied in. He has a $0.72 per share target in the next 12 months.

HOLD

It is in the Montney region and is doing a good job de-risking their assets. With some external capital, production could grow by mid-2020 to 10,000 boed from current levels near 4,000 boed.

BUY

The caller asked him to speak to Blackbird’s recent financial report. He is a big fan of the company. It is in one of the most liquid-rich areas of the basin (Montney fairway); it has a massive land spread and is bringing on production in Q2 of 2019 with a new facility with Tidewater Midstream (TWM-T) that will increase volumes to 8000 boe per day. These are about 50% liquids, so this company’s cash flow will start booming by Q2 2019. Net asset values have gone up significantly. He has a 12-month target of $0.70 and expects the price to rise further after Q2.

WAIT
There's a merger proposal and a private company which has interfingered lease holdings in Alberta. Problem is there wasn't enough drilling density to let him know what that land is worth. The merger and raising $110 million means that in 12 months, you'll see a better sense of what this land package is worth. A lot of promise but not enough data to make him buy.
WATCH
They are merging with Pipestone Oil. They are bringing on production at the beginning of 2019. He likes the company. He may upgrade to a buy today.
WATCH
They are going to merge with a private company. He likes the company. Liquids are more than half the volumes of the company. He has not completed his homework.
BUY
BBI-X is the old ticker. The merger involves a 10 for 1 split. PIPE-X shows a couple of weeks of trading and that is what to go by. They are coming on with new production facilities soon. By the end of the year, they will go to 10 times that. He thinks it is cheap and is on his action alert buy list.