Stock price when the opinion was issued
A win for BBD.B, half a win for HON.
BBD.B as a standalone is a very good business, improving margins, focusing on the more predictable and sustainable after-market business. Also growing defense business. Backlog is good. Executed really well, and this can continue. Some concern about how they might be affected by tariffs, but that's overstated.
Good chance to accumulate, but you need a 2-5 year horizon because the stock's done so well and much of the good news has been priced in.
In his momentum mandate. Best planes out there in medium- and long-range heavy aircraft. Sells to the rich, who keep getting richer, so there's an appetite for their planes. Sold off, probably due to fears of tariff vulnerability. Lots of manufacturing in Canada, though most customers are in US.
Order backlog is good. Supply chains problems are being ironed out. Executing very well. Going after defense and maintenance markets. Good cashflow and de-leveraging to support the shares.
Very focused on a single segment, private aviation. Increasingly, more revenues are coming from after-market parts and service. Bigger addressable market opportunities with the bigger installed base of its planes.
Growing opportunity in small, but high-margin, segment where they adapt a plane's chassis to reconnaissance planes of NATO allies. Deleveraging, big free cashflow. No dividend.
The ‘C’ series is the key thing for the organization. There are cost overruns and they are behind schedule and then there is the order book. Business jets are still an improving environment. It is a big capital expenditure for little revenue. In rails there are specific projects, particularly in France, but overall there are a lot of question marks. You have to watch the ‘C’ series and the drain in resources.