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Bombardier Inc (B)BBD.B.TOTOP PICKMay 22, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 11, 2026. Market Open.
Aerospace is a great and growing industry. Catalysts for positive change, such as Canadian contract and potential NATO contract. Paid down debt, has become a pure-play business jet leader. Now has a dynamite balance sheet. Strong jet-delivery growth, margins expanding.
New order book grew 43% in past year. Services increased 25% YOY. Will generate $1B in 2026. No dividend.
It has had a very successful turn-around. It sort of downsized in 2020 and focused on business jets. At that time there was too much debt but the balance sheet is much improved now. The price then was around $10 so it has been a 25 bagger in 5 years. Since it is priced much more fully now, he would trim and not add.
Phases 1, 2, and 3 of the business cycle are the expansion phases and they typically last a year. His team believes that last year was phase 1, so now we're in phase 2. This matters because industrials typically do well in phase 2.
Likes it, chart looks great. He'd continue to hold. If it goes up another 1%, you could trim that 1%. If it takes out somewhere in the $240 range (which is a pretty good level of support), that's when he'd trim a bigger portion. A move below $240 indicates that something significant is happening.
Continues to execute. We have this K-shaped economy, and this name is at the top end of the K. Continues to build more business jets and sell more. Newer, faster jets are in demand from top corporate clients. Multiple defense initiatives, such as with Saab. Good work getting balance sheet in order, numbers continue to accelerate. Likes it here.
Pleased with performance. Continues to like. Runup this month due to contract to deliver 50 aircraft. Pure play on private aviation. A generation or half a generation ahead of competitors in medium- and long-range aircraft. It's the best on a range of metrics, and its money-is-no-object customers don't comparison shop. After-market parts and services business. Chance to win defense contracts.
Enjoying a moment in the sun after 20 years under a dark cloud. Most investors haven't yet realized that, so more upside.
Gaining altitude. Technological leadership in medium- and long-range aircraft. Order book looks pretty robust, production slate is full. After-market parts and service provide stable revenue. Airplanes can be repurposed for military use, and Canada's recently upped defense spending commitments.
Long and complex supply chain, and tariffs are still a wild card. So not out of the woods yet. Stock breaking out to fresh all-time highs speaks to its resilience and to worst-case tariff scenario probably not materializing.
7.35% bond maturing in 2026. This company is going through all sorts of problems trying to get the C series launched. He does not think it is going to be a failure, but will probably have to do more discounting to get more sales. It not only has the C series, but also has the regional jet, business jet and a good train division. This company is rated just below investment grade, but you have about 6.5% yield to maturity and you are going out 12 years. It’s a full 420 basis points credit spread over Canada’s. Thinks the credit spread is excessive for their high quality businesses and in 3-4 years they will probably be regaining investment grade credit status. An investment grade bond does not trade anywhere close to 420 basis points. You are getting paid for the credit risks you are taking on.