Stockchase Opinions

Paul MacDonald Baxter International Inc BAX-N COMMENT Mar 21, 2018

Dialysis equipment amounts to 40% of their business. Sold his shares too early. They've had a great run. High 24x forward earnings. But the stock warrants a second look. Dividend just under 1% with negative growth and could
continue downward. Nine consecutive quarterly beats.

$66.460

Stock price when the opinion was issued

biotechnology pharmaceutical
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BUY

(Market Call Minute) There is a lot thrown away with every operation. It is really expensive stuff. BAX-N makes it. Disposable medical supplies.

COMMENT

Doesn’t follow this closely. Scores particularly well on his valuation metrics. Very high ROE’s at 30%. PE of only 9X, which is a very strong valuation metric for him. It beat recently on earnings. 5.4% dividend yield. However, momentum is where it falls down for him, and it scores in the bottom 10, which keeps him sidelined.

TOP PICK

This supplies hospitals with tons of different stuff and there is a focus on renal, things related to the kidneys. Had a sideways move from 2013 to early 2016, and then broke out. Feels it is really good at these prices. They had a really good Q1 and raised their sales and earnings guidance, and increased their expectations for operational improvements. Has a $65 target on this, but thinks that is a little conservative. Dividend yield of 1.15%.

TOP PICK

Very big in kidney medicine. Healthcare is a really good space to be in. One of the few spaces that is in a secular bull market. This company has some pricing power and some really big competitive advantages that are going to be recognized by the market. Dividend yield of 1.1%.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 30/16. Up 42%.) He still likes this. Healthcare is one of the few sectors, if you can deal with the volatility, that is in a secular bull market that began in 2012. He still likes this today, and it is still a Buy.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sept 28/16. Up 35%.) Believes he will be holding this for quite a long time. They are the best in the medical devices/medical supply. Expects it might go sideways for a while and it would be a Buy on any weakness.

DON'T BUY

She owned this a few years ago. It has done well recently, as has the US health sector generally. Its new CEO focused on new product developments that would generate better growth. The company is now fully valued, selling above historical valuation levels. She would consider it on a significant pullback.

DON'T BUY
Top healthcare pick. Valuation is rich, though the dividend is decent. He will suggest a better stock in Top Picks.
DON'T BUY

They fell into trouble a few years ago when they bought Hillrom, a healthcare company, which did not work. BAX took on a lot of debt and the deal was a bust. The rise of the weight-loss drugs has made a big impact on BAX's business. They have debt problems.