Stock price when the opinion was issued
Is -18% so far this week. If you hold it, ask what is the journey in your ownership of this stock. He entered this at $76 last summer. They had a parabolic move and obviously, he's unhappy with the recent downward move. It reported Feb. 12, made a new high on Feb. 13, then unwound after that. He predicted institutional selling, which is happening now. Rising volumes may lead to a near-term bottom, and will likely go sideways.
The quarter was very strong with very good growth and exceptional margins. Buybacks continue and EPS growth of more than 50% is expected next year. The net margin here is the highest we have seen. Its rule of 40 (sales growth and net margin) is well north of 100. The numbers are so good many investors simply do not believe it is possible. The biggest flag in the quarter was a big reduction in R&D expenses. This may catch up to the company down the road, but right now it is truly firing on all cyclinders. We like it, but it is a stock that can swing $100 in a week, and not for everyone, cleary. But we think it is going to go higher. The short sellers have gone quiet, and the short position is only 4.1% today.
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Index inclusion is quite positive in the short term, but the impact tends to fade over time. Still, the likely benefit is credibility for APP, especially after this year's intense short seller attacks. Index buying will now be ongoing, and non-index managers will still have to watch it more closely as if it moves they will potentially lag index moves (if they do not own it). Liquidity will increase and volatility 'potentially' could decrease. There is still a big debate on the stock as to whether it is the next-big-thing or a smoke-and-mirrors show. The numbers are excellent, no doubt, and if they can be sustained we think the stock does very well.
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12-month price target of $620. Analysts are having a hard time keeping up with price targets, because everything is dramatically changing with AI every day -- new relationships, new innovations. This one is about global advertising app monetization. $190B market cap right now.