AppLovin CorporationAPPCOMMENTMay 27, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 10, 2026. Market Open.
Their extreme valuation has compressed so much. Will see strength in ads, gaming and e-commerce. The street's earnings estimate is very high, so Cadence has to beat that. Can free cash flow come in above $3 billion? Are in an uncertain environment. That need a super report to restore bullish sentiment.
Up 108% last year, though weakened in recent months. Trades at 43x PE. Has great growth and is very profitable. They have no competitors. Revenue tripled over the last 4 years while revenue climbed from nothing to $9.37 EPS. Growth will continue, maybe accelerate at 37% revenue growth and 56% earnings growth.
The stock is down 4% today. There was a lawsuit filed relating to the big decline earlier this year, but we would not consider this to be of any significance. The stock has had a huge run, up 133% in six months. We would view the dip as a correction. Risks and volatility exists here, but we would be willing to buy today.
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Index inclusion is quite positive in the short term, but the impact tends to fade over time. Still, the likely benefit is credibility for APP, especially after this year's intense short seller attacks. Index buying will now be ongoing, and non-index managers will still have to watch it more closely as if it moves they will potentially lag index moves (if they do not own it). Liquidity will increase and volatility 'potentially' could decrease. There is still a big debate on the stock as to whether it is the next-big-thing or a smoke-and-mirrors show. The numbers are excellent, no doubt, and if they can be sustained we think the stock does very well.
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Is up 11% today on an upgrade. It's an example of nothing news-driven to act as a catalyst in the software space, just an upgrade.