Stockchase Opinions

Cameron Hurst TD Ameritrade Holding AMTD-Q DON'T BUY Oct 03, 2019

He was in this theme but his process got him out not long after the top. Don’t touch this now. Don't buy this. They have been punished.
$32.850

Stock price when the opinion was issued

Financial Services
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BUY
CIBC is interested in acquiring. Good long term.
TOP PICK

Have been growing their assets at about 20% a year but haven’t been getting much credit for the fundamentals because their interest rates have come down so much. They typically make a lot of money on margins. When somebody buys stock and they don’t want to pay for it in full, they can use other stock as leverage and there is a fee to that. This is a great play for a rising yield play. Yield of 1.36%.

TOP PICK

(Top Pick Oct 1/13, Up 25.66%) They are a play on the equity market in general. He got out and got back in in June. He still likes it. There has been a nice consolidation this year and it will benefit from a re-invigorated equity market.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Oct 1/13, Up 30.04%) He is back into it. It is one of the larger positions. He got out last February and then got back in.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 14/14. Up 21.41%.) Still likes this. This is US consumer centric. They have an excellent platform. Very well-run. More of a growthier stock, so trades at around 18-19 times earnings.

BUY

HSBC-Q vs. AMTD-Q. The TD business sis a better long term holding than HSBC. They have been benefiting from the globalization of China but have not been investing long term in their regional offices. TD has a growth opportunity with independent advisors. It is a better long term risk reward.

HOLD

Short interest? She owns TD-T, which has an interest in AMTD-Q. Short interest is one factor she looks at, but does not let it solely influence her decision. With only 2% short interest, it is too small to worry about.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He's not worried because retail is still TD's main business. The discount brokers was to bring trading cost to 0. It's all noise and this is where people get emotional and start selling. He would jump in right now.

COMMENT
You could see a higher bid than the current one. It could be that TD offers to buy, but you never know. There is a lot of positive possible outcomes for Ameritrade. (Analysts’ price target is $40.22)