Stockchase Opinions

Charles Oliver, HBSc CFA Alamos Gold Inc AGI-T PAST TOP PICK Aug 05, 2014

(A Top Pick Sept 17/13. Down 37.05%.) Was almost thinking of adding it as a Top Pick again, but the timing wasn’t quite right. They are going in through a pocket of lower material now, so earnings and cash flow are not as high. Still have a lot of cash. Thinks they will continue to move forward and get their grades and production back up, but the market just doesn’t care.

$10.230

Stock price when the opinion was issued

precious metals
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 03/24, Up 13%)

High quality gold company that will continue to hold. Assets located in Mexico + Canada (safe locations). Believes at the beginning of gold bullish trend. Will continue to own. 

RISKY

Cheap option that could be a takeover candidate. Good for speculative investors. Risky option that depends on investor risk profile. 

TOP PICK

Being Canadian, it's a safe gold company. They keep expanding their quality reserves, which is difficult to do. This just broke out. Gold has a long way to go.

(Analysts’ price target is $26.52)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 12/24, Up 14%)

Will continue to hold. Gold prices presenting very large opportunity. Given current economic cycle - very good for gold companies. Excellent company with strong assets and management team. Believes continued upside. 

BUY

Owns it for growth. Will generate a lot of cash. Middle-tier companies are in the sweet spot.

SELL

Holding here around the 50-day MA. Generated a weekly sell signal last week. Don't buy here. If you have a nice gain, sell today.

He just sold all his gold producers, as seasonality ended. Seeing some strength in the USD. One of the biggest inputs for Canadians is the USD against the CAD. You always want to look to the commodity producers to see where the commodity is going. For AGI, don't look at the stock, look at the rest of the sector.

PARTIAL SELL

This name is further down the food chain. Take a look at the more interesting mid-size players. Still, he's been lightening up on gold. With a strong USD, and interest rates possibly being higher, gold may take a few steps back. So he's waiting to see how things shake out.

TOP PICK

Now a $14B market cap, an emerging large-cap company. Likes last year's acquisition of Argonaut. Great organic growth profile of 12% annual compound growth rate in production -- no mid- or large-cap can match that. Negligible geopolitical risk of Canada and Mexico. Yield is 0.4%.

(Analysts’ price target is $39.50)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 09/24, Up 51%)

He's bullish on gold. Excellent management. Among the very best reserves, and keeps finding more quality ones.

WATCH

Likes this name in its space. His guess is that in the next month or so, Trump's going to roll back a lot of stuff and the economy will be better. So areas like gold are going to sell off.