Agnico-Eagle MinesAEM.TODON'T BUYFeb 17, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 24, 2026. Market Open.
Very high-quality company. Hard for him to understand why any serious investor in Canada wouldn't own it. Reasonable valuation. Absolutely superlative company. Generates a whole bunch of cash. Five years of development growth already within the company. 40-year track record of operational excellence and superb capital allocation.
Would absolutely put $$ in today (doesn't mean it won't be cheaper a year from now, but it definitely will be higher 5 years hence). Yield is 1.07%.
He likes materials, but pared back on gold last March. All materials moved up and are now consolidating. AEM went parabolic in early 2026, so no surprise it's pulled back, and the chart is now on the historic trendline. It's an okay play if you're patient. Maybe wait for it to bounce off this trendline. He expect gold to move up in a few months.
Parabolic increase in January, things got extended. He reduced then. Gold bull markets advance in stages, with corrections lasting ~3-5 months. We're now 3-4 months into that. He's been rebuilding. Next leg should be a strong leg higher.
Long-term investors should just buy and hold.
She doesn't like gold now. She bought this is in the $60-70s. Its mines are in low-risk areas, like Canada and the US. Gold used to be a safe haven, but this has recently reversed with gold now trading as a risk-on stock. The space got crowded and became speculative. Tread carefully. She is not adding her holding. AEM is the best gold stock,.
Revenues are 99% gold, 1% silver. Its 10 mines reduce single-mine concentration risk. Jurisdictions have negligible political risk. Management has well-deserved reputation of credibility.
Met production guidance in 9 of last 10 years. Beat street earnings estimates in 29 of last 30 quarters. Loves Finnish acquisition of last week. Great entry point. Yield is 0.92%.
(Note the shortish timeframe.) When a stock gets to 10% of a portfolio, they peel it back. Still first- or second-largest holding in portfolios. Only knock on it today is valuation, but that's the quality speaking. Quality is how you make $$ in the long run.
Still a great place to be.
EPS was 41c, matching estimates; revenue was $1.385B, 3% short of estimates.
EBITDA of $496M was 20% short.
Guidance was weak: AEM noted it expected production to be lower and costs to be higher for the next three years.
The stock dropped the most in two years.
Guidance is about 6% below prior forecasts due to 'permit issues, noise restrictions and revised mining operations'.
Cost guidance rose 15% from the company's prior expectations. 4Q gold production was 799,438 ounces, vs 812,537 estimated.
The Yamana deal is expected to close in March. We can deal with short term issues, but we do not like a three year outlook of lower production as well as higher costs.
The price drop is justified here.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free