Brendan Caldwell
Archer Daniels Midland Company
ADM-N
BUY
Jun 24, 2022
Agriculture business is challenged with supply of materials (even with high prices).
Thinks that business will be very strong going forward.
Demand for agriculture business will be high.
Global trade will be challenged going forward.
Companies that can supply agriculture products will be rewarded.
The CFO has been suspended due to questions around accounting. Also there have been operational problems. He got stopped out and replaced it with Deere, a long term buy, since he wants something in the agriculture space.
Does not own shares. Agriculture business that is a giant within sector. Tough business with low margins and high capital requirements. Lots of capacity for grain and seed crushing. Food additive business also growing. Better options available for investors in market.
They sold it and take profits, because they had accounting issues and could not file. When the fraud investigation was announced, shares were in the $80s and he expected it to bounce back. Instead, shares have fallen to $61. Sees no upside.
It's now breaking a long downtrend since late 2022. Investors have been dumping defensive stocks the last two months, but he's been adding defensive because they're on sale--and because a correction is looming. Are paid a 4-5% dividend.