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This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

A low-MER ETF that is an excellent vehicle to hold cash paying a good rate of return.  Deposits are held in Canadian chartered banks.  Yield 2.6%

premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

A safe haven low-MER etf that is tax efficient too.  It holds deposits in Canadian chartered bank High Interest Savings accounts.  As a Corporate Class etf, it does not make distributions, making it very tax efficient.  Its gross yield is 2.5%. Yield 0%

premium

This is a Panic-proof Portfolio opinion which is available only for Premium members

Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

A US dollar denominated low-MER etf that is tax efficient too.  It holds USD deposits in Canadian chartered bank Hight Interest Savings accounts.   As a Corporate Class etf, it does not make distributions, making it very tax efficient.  Its gross yield is 4.0%.  Yield 0%  

COMMENT
G7 meeting will quell investor nerves?

Not his area. His associate is a CFA, and so they do use fundamentals at his shop. Whereas Keith pays attention to nothing but the charts. Even in April, the tape is going to tell you what's going on.

COMMENT
Investing right now.

Everyone's concerned about tariffs. His firm is working around that by following their rules. He was very heavy in cash through most of the winter. Quantitatively, he has seen a couple of reasons for getting back into the market and has been stepping in over the past month.

There are also some signs from the fundamental side of potential slowing and recession, on both sides of the border. He doesn't want to step in aggressively. He's been buying value, but is still holding tons of cash. He's trying to buy equities that aren't correlated to the overall stock market.

Markets rarely make V bottoms. Covid in 2020 did do that, but that's rare over 100 years of charting. Usually, a market falls and then does some ups and downs before deciding to continue with the bull market. Unless this is another of those 1 in 100 years V bottoms, he's wary of stepping in too aggressively.

COMMENT
What prompted you to step back in?

He has a quant model that tells him when risk is high. His risk model went into neutral, and then it moved ahead of the 50-day MA and then the 200-day MA, so he stepped in some more. Yet he's still over 25% cash.

If we take out the highs on the S&P, then he has proof that we are moving back into a bull market. But we haven't done that yet.

WEAK BUY

He's relatively positive on Canadian energy, with some caveats. Oil stocks have been near the bottom of a trading range, whereas the gas stocks have done OK. More probability of upside in gas over the next couple of years. Yet there might be opportunity in oil stocks.

This ETF is probably more biased towards oil. Try to buy on a lift off the bottom, and then sell somewhere near resistance. This one is bouncing off the halfway point of the range, which is support from 2024. You have a decent chance of it getting to the $18-19 range or maybe a bit higher. He'd rather trade individual stocks than the ETF.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

The chart looks mahvelous ;)  It's in an uptrend, and the trend is your friend till it ends. Try to buy on the dips that approach the trendline. He's near-term cautious on the markets, so it could pull back closer to trend; if it did, he'd be all over it. If you own it, don't bother selling on the dip.

BUY
Silver.

He's recently been talking about this on his blogs and videos. Right now, he prefers silver over gold (though he still holds it). Silver has a catchup trade to do, it's just getting started. Silver's still somewhat below its all-time high, whereas gold took out its high a year or so ago. 

He owns lots of silver, but only started legging in early 2025 or late 2024. Silver futures chart is in fine shape. Coming down to the trendline now, so probably a good opportunity. When things get overbought, he takes profits, and goes back in later at a lower price.

WATCH
Momentum.

You have to take all the indicators together. For example if the price is going up, but momentum is slowing, you know it's going to be bad news for the stock eventually. 

This chart hit a high ~$180, pulled back, and is attempting to hit it again. That will be a resistance point, which needs to be cracked. If momentum's already overbought, and it's about to hit resistance, he'd say it has less chance of going through resistance. However, if it's hooking up through the level, then you could see it go through $180.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Chart shows yet another lovely story for gold. Trend is your friend till it ends (silly rhyme, but there's truth to it). It can always pull back to the trendline. But until it breaks lows and highs and the chart starts looking terrible, just go with it. Buy on dips.

WATCH

Looks as though it's trying to break out. Be aware that there was a false breakout earlier this year. So you really want to see the peak back in March or so taken out.

Bases are good, and they say that "the greater the base the better the case". Pretty good base here of a year or more; a breakout would be powerful on the stock. (But if it fails, can also be powerful to the downside.) If the breakout is for real this time, tons of upside. He loves base breakouts; he wrote a book called Sideways on that topic.

COMMENT
Playing the breakout.

Bases are good, and they say that "the greater the base the better the case". He loves base breakouts; he wrote a book called Sideways on that topic.

If a stock breaks out for real, it needs to stay above resistance for 3 days to 3 weeks. And then you start legging in. There's tons of potential on a stock that breaks out.

PARTIAL BUY
Average cost is ~$70.

Chart had well over a year of going nowhere, and then broke out without retracing and went to the moon. Now it's pulling down. The next thing you'll look for is where could it land, and the chart shows that that's where it is right now -- old resistance becomes new support. His book Sideways explains why.

Chart's bouncing off that support, which is very positive. He'd be legging in. If it breaks below ~$130 or so, that's bad news. For now, it's above that, so put a leg in. Your stop loss is the old resistance level, the place to sell.

BUY

Bitcoin and gold are often rather negatively correlated. That's what happened recently with gold pulling back. Making new highs, and that's good. Could get a retracement of course, but looks bullish for now.