PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 17/24, Down 3%)

Still positive on financial sector and on money centre banks in particular. Yield curve is starting to normalize, a positive for banks. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 17/24, Down 10%)

Hess deal being contested made things too murky. He sold. Comfortable with his Canadian holdings in the oil patch instead.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 17/24, Up 6%)

Numbers are lumpy, as 8-10 customers make up 80% of revenue. If you buy, be patient with it. High beta stock, but great opportunity. Order backlog of ~1.5 years. 

DON'T BUY

As a car company, never made sense to pay the demanding multiple. So an investor has to put faith in the technology side, and he's not comfortable with that. Musk is in the news big time, and he's not gaining any friends. International blowback against TSLA and Musk, reputational risk. Sales numbers weak.

DON'T BUY

With so much other opportunity and greater certainty in the tech space, this name requires you to take a big leap. Just hasn't executed on delivery or timing. Technology being bought up piecemeal. C-suite revolving door.

DON'T BUY

Not the type of company that would suffer from anti-American sentiment. At first, AI enhanced its product abilities; but then this morphed into perhaps products would become obsolete. No reason to get in.

WATCH

Like a South American version of AMZN. SA market is under-penetrated. Demographics are very favourable, as population is younger and more active in e-commerce. Growing rapidly, not that expensive. On his radar.

RISKY

Rough go recently. About 50% of production is domestic to the US. 35% of its business is recurring service revenue, encouraging. Questions around international business. If recession and tariffs are permanent, expect trouble. 

If those clouds dissipate, this could be a good entry point. US administration has changed, but infrastructure renewal needs remain strong. What you could do is buy this, but barbell it with more defensive areas such as telcos, utilities, consumer staples.

BUY

Likes it as a long-term hold. It's sort of a proxy for the market. Good operator. Not cheap at 17x PE, which is the current market multiple. Stock's come down with the market.

WAIT

He wouldn't buy at this point, consumer is still very weak. YOY organic growth is negative. Still trades at a fairly hefty premium compared to the market and to its own historical levels. He'd wait till consumer and housing are stronger.

WAIT

He wouldn't buy at this point, consumer is still very weak. He'd wait till consumer and housing are stronger. He prefers LOW to HD because of its cheaper valuation and execution of the (borrowed) HD playbook.

DON'T BUY

Gives you some cover at times like these. But on the other side, you're faced with changing food habits and GLP-1 drugs. May not be a lot of organic growth in this type of company. Chart is lumpy.

TOP PICK

Taken a big hit. Divergence between copper prices and company's performance. Generational opportunity to buy a company like this. Secularly, we're using more and more copper for electrification. Analysts see 7-8% compound  growth rate in copper usage over next 10 years. Yield is 2.01%.

The negative is that 50% of copper is used by China. If tariffs don't get sorted out, something's gotta give. It's not easy to bring mines on quickly. Good risk/reward at current levels.

(Analysts’ price target is $46.78)
TOP PICK

Like every chart, taken lumps over last little while. Back to doing great things after stepping away from the metaverse. Tariffs may affect it around the edges, but not at its core. 1 in 2 people in the world uses a META product every day. Multiple is not challenging. Yield is 0.41%.

Management issues seem contained. Regulatory issues will always come up. Interestingly, EU-announced tariffs didn't touch communication services companies, which is different from past practices.

(Analysts’ price target is $751.53)
TOP PICK

Money centre + wealth management (about 50% of total revenue). Accumulated companies over the years. New CEO comes from within. Traded off to a compelling valuation versus its history. Well positioned once we come out of all this. Yield is 3.72%.

(Analysts’ price target is $130.90)