It was a top pick last month and he still likes the valuation. There is lots of growth ahead for natural gas since the demand for natural gas is expected to increase in North America in the next 10 years. This is due to the switch from coal to gas, LNG, on-shoring, and the needs of data centres. PPL is well diversified, has good supplies, a healthy balance sheet and good growth. There was a draw-down early in 2025 but he is not sure why.
The caller was hoping for a 10% per year return and Amazon is growing earnings faster than 10% and revenue at least 10%. Tech stocks across the board have sold off and the P/E is now 31. Its valuation today is the same as Walmart which is over-priced. A couple of years ago it decide to relax its constant investment.
It is an alternative investor manager like Brookfield except it focuses on private credit and commercial real estate. It provides alternative investments to retail investors. In February it targeted a 20% annualized growth rate of accumulated earnings. It is down because of the general market decline and mixed quarterly results in their sector.
He will continue to hold -it is at an attractive valuation and growing its top line by 10% and trades at 20X earnings. It is the industry Goliath in creative space. Analysts wonder about upstarts taking away business and are questioning why they aren't monetizing AI more substantially. However it isn't communicating this and can't separate it out in the features that are included in its products for which it could charge higher prices.
Sales in other parts of the world are really slowing. For example they are down over 70% in Germany and Australia even though EV sales are up in Germany. Elon Musk is unpopular and is also spending a lot of time in Washington instead of running the company. The stock is at about half its value from its all time high but is really just giving up this gain and is back at its baseline in its five year chart. Elon Musk says that there are big gains ahead.
It has rebuilt its balance sheet and the valuation is well below the historical average. It has lagged the U.S. airline stocks even though it has initiated a 12 month share buyback program. It is at a lower price today than the price for share buybacks, recent option offerings and insider buying in February. Travel should come off a bit but not as much as the drop in its stock price. Buy 13 Hold 4 Sell 0
(Analysts’ price target is $24.65)
It had always traded at a discount to the big 5 banks but has started to trade in line. However he feels that it will go back to its historic range. He will continue to hold but not add.