TOP PICK

Bought this around $92 with proceeds from CNQ. Attracted to the chart. A swing chart, easy to trade. Hopes it'll go to at least $105 or so, which is when he'd probably sell. Yield is 3%.

(Analysts’ price target is $104.56)
TOP PICK

He's now at 20% cash. The S&P just broke below its 200-day MA. He doesn't have opinions about these things, just lots of rules. One rule is to give a breakdown between 3 days and 3 weeks grace.

Next week, if the S&P is still below its 200-day, he's going to raise another 5% cash for a total of 25%. He'll just have to keep an eye on what's happening. He gives it at least a 50% chance that we're falling into a bear market and, if we do, he'll move his bare cash into something that at least pays some interest. Lots of ways to park cash.

If he thinks it's just a pullback within a bigger uptrend, he wants his cash ready to deploy into opportunities. He wants it readily available, with nothing in his way. But if he becomes even more convinced of a bear market (POSSIBLY something like 2022 with a 25% drawdown), he wants cash in a vehicle such as a HISA, as he knows it'll be there for 3-4 months as the market continues to wash out.

COMMENT
Market concerns.

He encourages everyone to read his blog at valuetrend.ca. In a nutshell, the S&P 500 broke its lower low of 5800. Just broke the 200-day MA, and it will rally on the oversold condition (and we're seeing that rally today). If the market moves above 5800 and its 200-day, then maybe it's not a bear market.

But if it reaches 5800, or just a tiny bit above, and starts to fail again, then he'd say that's a bear market.

COMMENT

They just cut guidance, because the US consumer is starting to stall, due to weaker consumer guidance. They cut their revenue forecast from 8% to 4%, but in a recession they'd be down double digits. Stock weakness also happened after two high-profile plane crashes

BUY

It's replaced Delta as the best US airline. Their outlook is positive. Is -38% from January highs and trading under 6x PE.

BUY

The completion of new cruise ships will constrain supply and be positive for cruise ships' pricing power. Is -25% from highs and trades at 14x PE.

BUY

Share hit a high after last month's surprise quarter, prompting upgrades. But shares have since lost those gains. Is cheap now. Is a long-term secular winner. It's the prefferred way for young people to travel.

BUY

Shares have tumbled. Last week, they reported a good quarter though a light full-year forecast, because consumer confidence has slid due to tariffs. They have 43% market share in the US. They grew revenue in the US by 32% with 19% total revenue growth. They manage costs. There's room to grow with states like California and Texas still barring sports betting which is popular because it's a cheap form of entertainment, he thinks. 

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Enjoys the same tailwinds, and a duopoly, with Flutter whom they trail in market share. Has pulled back hard from highs.

BUY

Has fallen hard, but the new tariffs will be good for their business, driving people to buy used cars. A good CEO.

BUY

Quality food and good managers. Buy 50-75 shares initially.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Soared last month after a great quarter, but has fallen hard since. Q4 net cash flow beat estimates. Likes this company and the cybersecurity space.

DON'T BUY

He was wrong. He thought digital banking was the way to go.

DON'T BUY

They keep losing money.

DON'T BUY

Yes, Warren Buffet owns it, but OXY has a lot of debt.