PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 13/23, Up 31%)

Last year, sold off on sensitivity to interest rates. Rallied on the reversal of that. Cashflows are very stable and durable. Increasing dividends. He likes to buy around 10x cashflow, and this is just north of that. Hold, and wait for a pullback to add to your position. Yield currently 6.4%.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 13/23, Up 26%)

Very good balance sheet, no debt. Very reasonable price point. Regardless of the strength of the overall Chinese economy, people still need to eat. Whips around along with sentiment on China, and it will take some time to decouple from that. Still likes it for the long term.

DON'T BUY

Reasonably good company. All companies are trying to monetize AI. Single product risk, and he's always wary of those companies. He prefers the consolidators for boosting revenue and cashflow. A wait-and-see story.

HOLD

Doesn't have a problem with it. But with the threat of tariffs, there might be a better opportunity elsewhere. See his Top Picks.

HOLD

A bit more credit risk than other names. All the credit card companies are good, but he prefers and owns Visa.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

They're all good, but this name is the most profitable because it has the largest payment network. Shareholder friendly, increasing dividend and buying back shares. Don't have to spend a lot to improve infrastructure. Valuation at high 20s or low 30s PE is rich.

DON'T BUY

The one reason to own a telecom company is for the income. If you're not, there are much better growth ideas out there. Probably the best telco operator, but in the end it doesn't matter because price competition will take years to filter through. All of them will be challenged on profitability.

Not a growth industry, though Telus has made some unique investments. All you're hoping for is to collect the dividend and get a rerating on the multiple, which could be many years out (and may not come). If you don't need the income, look elsewhere. Yield is 8%.

COMMENT
Disappointing investments.

In an investment portfolio, very hard to be perfect. Especially when it's not your full-time job. Everyone tends to have 10% of the portfolio that just didn't do what you thought. In a portfolio of 20-30 names, 2 or 3 will always be basket cases. You need to have a mechanism to deal with them. When a stock falls significantly, review it; if your thesis is broken, you have to exit. 

And when you own an index fund, you don't even see what's happening under the hood. When you own individual stocks, there's a higher level of monitoring that needs to happen.

SELL ON STRENGTH
Underwater.

Definitely undervalued, trading at a lower multiple than peers. Lost all credibility. If it's in a non-registered account and you can bank the tax loss, sell. If in a registered account, perhaps wait until the new year because tax-loss selling may be putting extra pressure on the stock price right now; could see a bit of a bounce in the new year.

FTS and BIP.UN are his go-to names in the space.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

One of his go-to names in the space.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

One of his go-to names in the space.

DON'T BUY

Aviation is attractive because of structural demand and the industry structure. Only a couple of players in an essential industry. In any other industry, would be bankrupt. From the outside, can't know if it's fixed. Don't consider. 

WATCH

Bought in the last 6 months. Turnaround story of 2-3 years, but fixable. Phenomenal brand. Reporting tomorrow. For new $$, he tends to wait for earnings. See what comes tomorrow. Valuation of 28x looks rich, but it's because earnings have been hit so hard.

TOP PICK

Business model has come under pressure, not too many industrial conglomerates left. So much hidden value that can be unlocked over the next 2-3 years. Wonderful aerospace and defense, as well as automation. Separating them makes a lot of sense. Valuation is very attractive. Yield is 2%.

(Analysts’ price target is $247.09)
TOP PICK

Attractive entry point. US rhetoric on tariffs has put a negative cloud on North American trade. The only North American rail network. Hit hard, down 15% from its high. Great management team. Such a unique asset, you want to take advantage of the weakness right now. Yield is 1%.

(Analysts’ price target is $128.28)