PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 25/23, Up 26%)

(Note 10 for 1 stock split October 3, 2024)

Got caught in the backwash of ASML. Reports tonight. He's on board with the analysts' average price target, getting close to being fully priced. Watch tonight when earnings come out, and listen for comparisons with ASML. Good support on the chart around $71. Next support after that is around $57. A great place to buy would be in low-mid $60s.

(Analysts’ price target is $92.75)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 25/23, Up 7%)

Software for enterprise business and technical teams, not for retail consumers. Very nichy. One of the co-founder CEOs stepped down over the summer. He's watching carefully to see how it performs under the sole CEO.

(Analysts’ price target is $216.00)
BUY

Reports next week. He has a pretty full position at about 7%. He'd even start a position here around $571, and add around the lower $550 range, and $525. Very good support around $520. His 12-month price target is $645. Thinks it has the biggest database of all the players out there. That's why it buys about $38-39B worth of NVDA chips, to process all that data. 

Its natural processing language model, Llama, will sell the processing of its (and others') data to software companies such as NOW and CRM. That's how it's going to monetize all that data. Thinks this stage will happen in 2025.

PARTIAL BUY
Cancelling chip design agreement with QCOM.

May be a bit of a gift. Likes it down here between $140-145, where it has a bit of support. AAPL comes out next week on October 31, and ARM is a big supplier to them. ARM may pop then. 

TRADE

Treading water. Another technology-measurement company. Caters to the natural resource area such as oil & gas. His 12-month price target is $173; less an investable stock, and more of a tradeable one. See his Top Picks.

PARTIAL BUY

Last time it reported, actually got all the way down to $95 a couple of days later. One of his largest positions. 12-month price target of $149.85. If it got above $143, he'd probably write some calls. The new Blackwell chip is completely sold out all through 2025, and no one else has come out with a better widget.

It's the darling of the tech arena right now. Don't go all in. Buy here around $139, and try for $125, $115, and $105. A gift if you could ever get it under $100. If it went under $90, get out of the way.

HOLD
Position has grown to 10% of a portfolio. What to do?

The dilemma that professional money managers go through every day! If you sell a small portion of a winner, you win whether the stock goes up or down. If you sell 15% of your stake, and it continues to go up, you still have a lot. But if it goes down, you can pat yourself on the back for being so smart (and now you can buy it back).

One of his top 5. His 12-month price target is $491, so still about 20% upside. Has been dead money over the last couple of months, as the rest of the market's taken off. So many horses in the race, from software to hardware to cloud to cross-selling. Its Maia AI chip is very competitive. If it got north of $450, that's where he'd take 10-15% off.

DON'T BUY

Plays outside the data centres by preparing the data for processing. Flat since summer, probably because that particular segment of the ecosystem is a bit crowded. He'd look at IBM instead.

PARTIAL BUY

Lots of horses, but he hesitates because it's sitting around $230 with a price target of $257. Runway is a bit shorter. Add here and around $220, and certainly around $210.

TOP PICK

Makes equipment for the chip industry. Recall the dartboard chart described at the top of today's show of the automation/robotics ecosystem. In the hardware space, just outside the manufacturers. Testing equipment for semiconductors, wireless, storage devices. Ensures quality and reliability of high-tech products. About 20% runway to $150. Yield is 0.4%.

What's also very cool is that, yes, it's in automation. But it's also gotten into robotics to the tune of about 25% CAGR growth rate consistently for the last 2 years, compared to 20% for peers. Definitely a leader, great company.

(Analysts’ price target is $144.75)
TOP PICK

Known as an airline company, but they have this software to fiddle with manufacturing systems on your computer screen. As a result, big player in robotics. More on the outer circle of the dartboard graph of the robotics ecosystem. 12-month price target of $41.50 Get a position here ~$35.50, and add in the lower $30s. Yield is 0.7%.

(Analysts’ price target is $44.00)
TOP PICK

One of the bigger players on the manufacturing side. Big automotive business in affordable passenger vehicles, but also big on the EV side. Back in 2020, it bought Boston Dynamics, a leader in leveraging robotics for industrial automation and mobility.

A bit difficult to buy -- has an ADR on the NASDAQ, but can also buy it on the Korea Exchange (KRX).

BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

It is true that lower rates should otherwise be a tailwind for businesses with leveraged balance sheets. In fact, FTS has recovered meaningfully to reach 52-week highs recently. We think for a conservative name like FTS its performance is quite good. The upside potential from the interest rate tailwinds may not be as attractive as it used to be, but we think FTS is still a high-quality dividend payer. We think FTS can do well from here for shareholders with a potential total return of around 10% annualized return over the long-term. 
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PARTIAL BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

NCI just issued an equity offering at a price of $1.4 for aggregate proceeds of $5.2M. The size of the offering is quite large (10% of NCI's market cap) relative to previous years’ equity issuance of around $1M. The purpose of the issuance could be to fund growth and take advantage of the record valuation in its share price. 

NCI just recently raised guidance for FY2024. NCI expects revenue to be around $55M, an increase of 10% over the previous projection of $50M, along with a revised net income margin to 14% from 10% previously. The result is driven by a sustained and rising demand from new and existing customers.

Overall, NCI is demonstrating strong execution, NCI is an interesting, profitable growth story that has shown solid momentum. But its market cap is just $50M, a really small and illiquid stock. We would be comfortable to add to NCI over time as the company continues to execute and we would be willing to average up.
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PARTIAL BUY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

The quarter was solid, and ahead of estimates. Guidance was also raised, though not by a huge amount. After some 'selling on news' and profit taking, shares reversed up and hit another new high before the weak Nasdaq market brought them down again. But the performance and outlook remain solid and we would be fine buying some today or in any further decline.
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