Frustrating. NAV is above $30/share, and shares lag this. Continues to like it though; they are doing the right things by growing cash flow. Margins are tremendous because the costs of producing oil in Colombia is low. Plus, they're getting better routes to market with pipelines. Are exposed to Brent Oil instead of WCS, so prices they get are better. They are buying 10% of outstanding shares each year, a big amount. Happy to hold.
Is no cash flow, but they're sitting on two monster uranium deposits in Saskatchewan. He likes uranium. The Fukushima disaster is behind us and mindsets are embracing nuclear energy again. This is likely a take-out target given their deposits. It's too speculative for him. They aren't producing and lack cash flow. That said, you can study this to see if there is value, given those deposits.
Defense is a moat oligopoly with barriers to entry. NOC owns long US Defence Dept. contracts and they own the intellectual property of their defence technology. They operate in 4 segments like space and defence which are predictable and stable. Revenues are stable; 86% of sales are with the US government. They have an $80 billion backlog. Shares pulled back 24% from last year's peaked, but have stabilized. They're grinding through a $1.2 billion cost overrun of the B-21 bomber, fixed-price contract. But a catalyst in 2024 is them likely getting the contract to build the next generation of fight jets. Shares offer returns of 13% compounded historically.
(Analysts’ price target is $489.88)He changed his tune on this recently. They made a mistake by getting too deep into fulfillment and logistics. But changes in the board and executive have sharpened their growth and profitability. They sold their logistics business. The street sees SHOP growing earnings 800% YOY given job cuts and closing fulfillment.
(Analysts’ price target is $86.13)They own/operate long-duration assets and are third-party managers of outside capital. Flows of money into private-market assets are outstripping flows into traditional stocks and bonds. So, BN has been hovering up money and now manages over $800 billion. Share have generated a compounded return of over 15% annually over 25 years. Good managers. A nice pullback to buy.
(Analysts’ price target is $59.90)
Is tied to infrastructure which is a great tailwind. They make utility poles which need replacing in fires, so they benefit from climate change. The PE remains reasoanable.