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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly This US regional sports and outdoor activity retailer has plans to open 80-100 stores over the next five years and has found ways to make itself the highest productivity per store company in its peer group. Recently reported earnings beat expectations by 22% and support a stellar ROE of 47%. It trades at under 6x earnings, compared to peers at 14x. It has been using some cash reserves to prudently retire debt and aggressively buy back shares. We recommend a stop loss at $26.50, looking to achieve $55.00 -- upside potential over 45%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $55.08)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly As a retailer of home items priced at $5 or under, FIVE is a good hedge against a slowing economy. Revenues have grown by 7% and recently reported earnings supported a ROE of 24%. Management has already provided guidance that reflects the realities of supply chain and inflationary pressures. Cash reserves are growing, despite the company buying back shares. We recommend a stop loss at $90, looking to achieve $188 -- upside potential over 55%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $187.72)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly With net sales up almost 15% over the year, this iconic global brand is a TOP PICK. Recently reported earnings beat expectations by over 25% and support a stellar 40% ROE. It trades at 12x earnings, compared to peers at 30x. Management guidance remains online and projects growth continuing through the balance of the year. We recommend a stop loss at $13, looking to achieve $27 -- upside potential over 55%. Yield 2.4% (Analysts’ price target is $27.09)
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 30/22, Down 8.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with SHEL has triggered its stop at $48. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 3%, when combined with the previous buy recommendations.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 28/22, Up 12.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with PIF is progressing well. To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $16.00) to $18.50.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 23/22, Up 2.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with WOR is progressing well. To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $30) to $39.
COMMENT
We're seeing maturity in this part of the cycle with extreme negative sentiment. Markets have given back over 20% in the first half of 2022. History shows that 6-12 months later are significantly higher. It's naive to call a bottom now, but safe to say that much of the damage has been done. A lot of speculative excesses have gone away as well as those speculators, leaving investors to focus on stocks with earnings.
DON'T BUY
The valuation has been a 50% premium to the market for the past several years. He worries about management with CEO in and out of this job several times; they can't find a successor. Also, he worries about their shutdown in China. In recent years, they have gathered $14 billion in debt and have negative net worth in order to buyback shares. True, Coke and McDonald's also have net worth, but they have predictable cash flows. SBUX's debt is unsustainble.
DON'T BUY
Have 188,000 charging stations for EV's in a growing business and expanding industry. But they have a $4.5 billion market cap and only $250 million in revenues. So, they're trading at an extremely high valuation in anticipation of success. Also, CHPT is facing more and more competition to meet demand. In the U.S. there are 5 charging stations per 100 EV's; that needs to increase that by 300-400%.
WATCH
Their theme parks have sustained them. Disney+ is a great opportunity for them; the market took that and ran with it by pushing shares to nearly $200 which he felt was extreme during the pandemic. Shares have settled back to the $90s--very interesting. He's watching it and just might step in.
BUY
They just rebranded and the ticker is now ELV. About 50% of their business comes from the commercial insurance market, the rest from government contracts. Past recessions didn't really impact their business. They insure about 50 million US citizens. Their major peer is UnitedHealth, but he prefers Athem because its valuation its 5 PE points lower.
BUY
Wait for a lower price? Don't wait for a lower price. Once the US Fed gets late in its cycle for tightening, then the opportunity will be gone. The upside far outweighs the temporary weakness. Likes RTX for blending defence (a stable business) and commercial aerospace (about 60%+ of all revenues).
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 14/21, Down 39%) The stock split 20-for-1 a few months ago. The return is not so good, though. A fabulous company, but the Russian war and inflation happened. Also, last year, Amazon built a lot of warehouses and hired a lot of people, then demand softened. Long-term, this is a strong company, but his timing was poor. If you like this, buy it. Over time, this will work out.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 14/21, Down 7%) They make the skin for aircraft. A big customer is Boeing. More aircraft demand will benefit HXL. Still likes it.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 14/21, Down 9%) It has a wide moat with very few competitors. They invest a lot in data analytics and tech. 55% recurring revenues.