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COMMENT
OPEC exhaustion, increased consumer demand, falling inventories and under-investment from energy companies leading to robust energy fundamentals.
Seeing high energy prices, lean cost structures and commitment from companies to return capital back to shareholders.
Expecting company share prices to appreciate back to historical levels.
TOP PICK
Direct play on all time high heavy oil prices.
Company committed to returning capital back to shareholders (recently bought 3.5 million shares back).
Have pledged to return 100% free cash flow yield back to shareholders once debt paid back.
Long reserve life with high cash flow yields, will lead to massive share price appreciation (85% upside).
oil
gas
TOP PICK
Management team committed to returning capital back to shareholders.
Package of conventional assets on the market which should fetch high price.
35% free cash flow yield, trading a 1.8x cash flow with long reserve life in the USA.
Company should be debt free this time next year.
Expecting company shares to appreciate significantly very soon.
oil
gas
TOP PICK
Company has high exposure to Clearwater oil play, with very fast well payouts (return on investment).
Trading at 2.4x cash flow with a 27% free cash flow yield.
Committed to returning 50% of cash flow back to shareholders (expecting 75% soon).
Thinks that a 5x multiple appreciation on share price is reasonable (100% upside).
oil
gas
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 28/21, Up 108%) Still owns shares in the company.
Net zero producer that is producing ethical oil and gas.
Longer than average reserve life.
11% free cash flow yield equates to 5x multiple and $21 share price target.
Management returning capital to shareholders.
Expecting company to be debt free this time next year.
Oil and Gas (Integrated Oils)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 28/21, Up 287%) Drilling oil wells that payback in weeks (1.5 years is average).
Largest shareholder of the company.
Would have made to top pick, but already have picked company last time.
Company aggressively paying down debt.
Trading at 2x cash flow and 35% free cash flow yield.
Expecting company to start returning capital very soon.
Expecting a $14 share price (96% upside).
oil
gas
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 28/21, Up 207%) 23% free cash flow yield and 3.6x trading multiple.
Has committed to return 100% of free cash flow yield back to shareholders, once debt paid back.
Expecting 6x multiple on the company which would be a $52 share price.
Management team is committed to delivering capital back to shareholders (set bar in terms of capital returns to shareholders).
oil
gas
BUY
Has been buying shares in company for the past few weeks.
Expecting plan for return of capital to shareholders soon.
Company at point where inventory depth is adequate.
Currently trading at 1.9x cash flow and has 29% free cash flow yield.
Expecting company to be debt free next year.
Will start seeing share buybacks and dividend increase.
Share price should be around $22 (91% upside).
4th largest shareholder at the moment.
oil
gas
