PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 01/21, Up 10%) Strong season from January to May. Now is its weak period, so he wouldn't buy right now.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 01/21, Up 9%) No bank exposure right now. Seasonally, starts to back off right about now, especially if interest rates do start to move down. Might be an uptick in August, with earnings. Best to wait until October to re-enter.
COMMENT
Canadian vs. US banks When interest rates move up, US banks outperform Canadian by a mile. This is because their net interest margins are greater and because they're more leveraged to the economy. But when interest rates go down, US banks tend to underperform. Banks are out of their seasonality right now, so he's not looking at any of them.
BUY

Focused on nat gas, unlike SU. Strong seasonality right now, which favours BIR, until mid-late June. A reasonable buy at this point.

HOLD
Not a lot of growth potential, though it expects to grow its dividend over the next 5 years by 6%. Won't be a huge outperformer. Utilities are seasonal right now, and tend to perform well here. Very defensive, so if markets tank, FTS won't participate as much on the downside. A pretty good buy here. Yield is about 3.6%.
COMMENT
Gold miners. Gold miners sweet spot of seasonality starts July 27 - early October. Sometimes a pickup happens earlier in June. June can also be very volatile for gold and gold miners. Right now, he'd wait on gold miners, even though a name like ABX just had some good numbers. Downturn in June may be a good entry opportunity. He'd pick gold over the oil sector.
WAIT
Tends to perform well in late January into April, which it did this year. Recent pullback. Well positioned in terms of products. Click and collect set the trend. Hold off right now. During its next seasonality, it should perform well.
HOLD
Governor is threatening to shut down the line on May 13. A risk, but not sure it's a material one. Don't trade it just on the basis of that. Huge company. A good choice in the sector, but don't allocate a whole lot of money to it. Yield of over 7%.
WAIT
Has done extremely well, so don't jump in based on its historic performance.
TOP PICK
There's been talk of change of the US healthcare system for years, but Covid is making it difficult to do that right now and makes healthcare protected from attack. Strong seasonal period right now. Elective surgeries coming back. Huge opportunity for an uptick at least until August. Yield is 1.39%.
TOP PICK
Not an exciting sector, but this is the time of year it tends to do well, especially if the market's getting a little softer. In March, the sector outperformed the market. It is expensive at 21.5 PE, but investors are willing to pay up when they're concerned about market valuations. Yield is 2.52%.
TOP PICK
This is not a long-term call, but one for the next 4-5 months. Strong seasonality right now, and rates have pulled back a bit. Bond allocation in a portfolio still makes sense. Yield is 0.89%.
COMMENT
FAANG continued to sell off today at natural resource stocks rallied again, but he won't give up on the tech giants. Very low interest rates and a once-in-a-lifetime boom has seen Facebook over 700% and Amazon nearly 1,600% over the last 10 years. Doesn't this merit something? Do we just forget these stocks? Throw them away to double-down on the cyclicals? Booms are great, but don't last. Eventually, booms bust and this one will one day face rising interest rates. That's when investors flock back to the likes of Microsoft and the other FAANGs. FAANGs are built to last and not sensitive to the whims of consumers, and they sit on a lot of cash to consistently reinvent themselves. For example, Netflix used to rent DVDs and are now a monster streamer.
COMMENT
Peer Amerisource missed their report today and analysts may downgrade the entire group, which trades together. MCK is best in class, but let's see what happens tomorrow with downgrades.
BUY
Reported a solid quarter and guidance this morning, and the stock rallied. The industrials are rallying these days, finally. This has soared from $70 from last year's low to $179 today, including a 23% move YTD. It still has more room to run.