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Many of the large cap stocks are trading above their intrinsic values. Rational investors must be careful and look at the fundamentals. He's looking into small and mid cap stocks that are still under valued. There is a large increase in personal investment accounts being open by new investors. These accounts hold investments in many similar companies because they are in the news, and not because of their investment worthiness. He is positive in the market still, especially with lower interest rates expected to hold for a while and government stimulus being injected.
DON'T BUY
They are really delivering, and are stealing some shares from Amazon. Management is good. It's a huge success story in Canada. As a conservative investor, he would need to see higher growth continue for many years to justify its current valuation. He can see reason to be bullish but he would not personally buy it right now. He prefers stocks with a larger margin of safety.
COMMENT
You can make a bullish or bearish case for this. He's trying to be more cautious and doesn't believe they are out of the woods yet. Management has done a good job during these trying times. If you can deal with volatility, it could be a good choice. There is market risk but they have capital.
food services
BUY
A solid long term hold. You might need to have patience, as they are investing their cashflow into plant based alternative foods that have good long term potential. However, short-term it does not lead to the profitability investors are looking for. Long term dynamics look good once they realize their investment benefits. A defensive stock since people need to eat regardless of the pandemic.
food processing
BUY
A great business with a strong management team. They take advantage of inefficiencies in Canadian industry that banks are not doing. Their bank offering is doing well with increase in account openings. They have seen big deferrals from last quarter but it has now stabilized. There is good organic growth and a possible expansion of the addressable market.
Financial Services
HOLD
A great industry to invest in the longer term. The fertility industry is booming, growing at 10% per year. It is one of the only companies you can invest in the public equity space in the industry. They are consolidating the space to present a more complete offering to clients. Management is good and makes methodical acquisitions.
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BUY ON WEAKNESS
It could be a good time to accumulate around these levels. They have probably passed their highest credit losses now. Government support is also important and losses were not as high as expected. They have good capital and the dividend is here to stay and is safe. Interest rates support a good performance in the years to come.
banks
BUY ON WEAKNESS
They have less diversification compared to TD Bank, but he is not too worried on credit losses. Their dividend is sustainable and the capital ratio is alright. He would be accumulating around these levels.
banks
BUY ON WEAKNESS
The management team has done a tremendous job throughout the crisis. The company will benefit from the zero emission bus agreements across North America. They make the best buses with zero emissions. Near-term, because of lower ridership, they might see delayed orders by clients. They might experience a couple bad quarters but he is confident in the longer term. He would be a buyer during the pullback.
Automotive
DON'T BUY
The businesses under the same umbrella does not have much synergistic benefits. We do not know the real value of the underlying businesses. The true underlying payout ratio must be reviewed. He is unsure if there is sufficient cashflow to maintain these high dividends.
Transportation & Environmental Services
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 17/19, Down 3%) It remains his top pick. They have done a good job over the last few months and have maintained their guidance for 2020. They have a good recurring revenue business. He expects them to make some acquisitions in the near term. He believes it will be a compounder for years to come.
Telecommunications
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 17/19, Down 35%) They are exposed to the aviation industry. The business has recovered nicely from the April lows and they are doing much better. He thinks it's not a time to sell the company. He trust the management team to navigate the environment. Once the aviation and hotel industry recover, they should see gains.
other services
