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Today, Michael Sprung commented about whether NFI-T, SU-T, MFC-T, ARX-T, CCO-T, RY-T, BNS-T, TD-T, SJR.B-T, WTE-T, BIP.UN-T, CNR-T, TRP-T, VET-T, BNS-T, MG-T, TECK.B-T, BCE-T, HBM-T, TD-T, CM-T, BBD.B-T are stocks to buy or sell.

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COMMENT

Market Outlook The market is betting that President Trump will not follow through on the attack into Iraq. However, any attack on US soil could be very detrimental to the market. Oil is down over 4% intraday today, testing $60. Shale decline rates may actually be much higher that originally thought, making the US not as self-sufficient as President Trump believes. Valuations in the markets today are based on investors chasing growth stocks. This may begin to change. Low interest rates has spawned very high levels of debt (consumer, corporate and government). This could make things precarious going forward.

DON'T BUY

He thinks the company still has a ways to go to prove it can make deliveries. Overall, people have been disappointed with this company for some time. The company must get back to a sustainable level of profitability -- something he does not see happening soon.

BUY

One of his principal bank holdings. Loan provision increases have been occurring and he thinks management is just being cautious. It is well capitalized and trades at a discount to its peers. He would recommend buying here.

HOLD

Of all the Canadian banks this was the laggard, based on price return. It is priced a little on the rich side. The yield is about 4%, making it attractive. He does not hold a large position, but would suggest others at these valuation levels (both trading on book value and yield).

HOLD

Legal hurdles? A play on copper and he has been a long term holder. The proxy fights from last year are over. There is some issue about permitting on the upcoming US project. He thinks it will be approved longer term, but it may take longer. With all the turmoil in the world and given we are near an end of a bull cycle, this is a good time to get into base metals. What he needs to see is more investment in industrial production. You will have to be patient. He will continue to hold it.

BUY

It has been a recent Top Pick for him. There is new management in charge. The new CEO publicly commented that Canadian cell phone rates are not that expensive. The company has the cash flow and infrastructure and he likes their TV services. This is a good place to be.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

He thinks it is selling at a reasonable valuation. It will have to continue to meet and beat investor expectations. He doesn't see the catalyst at the moment to do that. He is not invested right now and might consider looking at it 15% lower than today.

HOLD

We are living in a strange world where Tesla has a higher market cap than GM. There has been a stall in new car sales globally, especially in China where sales declined. He thinks all the parts manufacturers will suffer to a degree. Magna will be a survivor and will make the transition into electric cars going forward. He would not hesitate to own it for the long term. He does not own it presently.

COMMENT

CDN vs US financials? He thinks in terms of valuations it is in favour of Canadian financials based on price to cash (9.9 times for Canadian vs. 12 times for US) and yields (4.3% for Canadian and 2.7% for US).

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 15/19, Up 6%) Most of the return was from the dividend. He thinks the Canadian banks are better valued than US counterparts. Provisions for loans losses and software development write downs resulted in a $175 million earnings report recently. He would make this one of his most favoured Canadian banks -- trading at 1.4 times book and a near 5% yield. It has the most potential for capital appreciation going forward.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 15/19, Down 25%) He thinks it is extremely well managed. He believes the dividend will be maintained unless commodity prices fall dramatically. Of all the energy companies in Canada it is likely the most internationally diversified. He thinks the price is already taking into account a dividend cut. He will continue to hold it.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jan 15/19, Up 32%) Pipelines are a good place to be right now, especially with constraints on pipelines. They have also been able to increase tariff rates. Still one of his favorites. Yield 4.4%

DON'T BUY

Buy before earnings? He is not certain if he would buy it today -- so he would wait. Railroads are driven by economies, especially the industrial and agricultural sectors, and things are not growing. He does not think it is a compelling valuation -- trading over 4.5 times book and with a 20 PE. He would rather find other industrial picks, rather than the railroads.

PARTIAL BUY

Overall, he has great admiration for all the Brookfield spin offs. He prefers holding the parent. For longer term investors, this would be a good time to add to a position. He does not own it, but will be watching it.

WATCH

Why the selloff today? Teck may be expanding its deal with a competitor causing a sizable share price sell off (over 10% today) -- this may double Teck's capacity. People may also be concerned about future coal demand and exports. There just not seem to be any catalysts to spark his interest. It is not wise to panic on this, there will be time for recovery to allow you to assess the situation.

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